Heads up

[greeniguana]

I'll just add that the more detailed reports that show where the remnant clouds and rain will likely go after a storm dissipates do not provide information that is useful or even interesting to me. Likewise, the "spaghetti bowl" predictions which show a bazillion possible storm tracks when different methods of modeling are applied do not show me anything that I would act on. The NHC website is simple, easy to understand, and plenty accurate for my needs.

Ignorance is bliss, I suppose.

 

[ggunn]

Ignorance is bliss, I suppose.

For many years I have gotten all the information I want or need about hurricane predicted paths from the NHC website and it has been plenty accurate every time. You apparently need to see something different, so look wherever you want, I care not.

I could tell you what you can do with that condescending attitude, but I will refrain.

 

[DandyDon]

 

[ggunn]

View attachment 867159

A lot of tropical weather has sprung from this area this season.

 

[DandyDon]

Chances up a little in the western Caribbean.

 

[ggunn]

View attachment 868021
Chances up a little in the western Caribbean.

That disturbance just north of Panama has been there for several days and not doing much of anything. I hope it will keep doing the same. Still, that part of the Caribbean has spawned a lot of tropical activity this year, so I will keep watching it as well as the one just east of the Dominican Republic. The season is winding down now but the waters in the Caribbean and the Gulf are still very warm.

 

[ggunn]

The NHC has upgraded the 7 day prediction of cyclone development for Disturbance 1 to 70% probability and amended its direction of drift from 'northward' to 'northward or northwestward'.

 

[DandyDon]

The NHC has upgraded the 7 day prediction of cyclone development for Disturbance 1 to 70% probability and amended its direction of drift from 'northward' to 'northward or northwestward'.

Cozumel Island is certainly on a possible path...

 

[Shawn C]

Cozumel Island is certainly on a possible path...

View attachment 868117

It's looking more likely to affect Jam

Cozumel Island is certainly on a possible path...

View attachment 868117

Looking a lot more likely to affect Jamaica and Cuba than Cozumel now.

 

[ggunn]

It's looking more likely to affect Jam

Looking a lot more likely to affect Jamaica and Cuba than Cozumel now.

Yeah, it just sat there for over a week in that area where numerous tropical events have gotten started this year, but now it appears to be moving. Cozumel is well off the predicted path but my peeps in coastal Texas and Louisiana are watching it closely.