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They bumped the one east of the Yucatan back up to 40%. Yellow to orange.

The dumbed down NHC hurricane predictions and their moronic color codes are pure junk. (Tomer Burg data)

AL952024_gefs.png
 
The dumbed down NHC hurricane predictions and their moronic color codes are pure junk. (Tomer Burg data)

View attachment 866007
Well, the paths the NHC predicted for Helene and Milton were spot on. I monitor the NHC website a lot during hurricane season and I get a lot of good information from it. YMMV.
 
The NHC is now saying that there is a 70% chance of the disturbance just east of the Yucatan developing into a tropical cyclone in the next couple of days.
 
The NHC is now saying that there is a 70% chance of the disturbance just east of the Yucatan developing into a tropical cyclone in the next couple of days.

And if you look at anything other than the NHC, you'll see it is quickly going into the pacific ocean.
 
And if you look at anything other than the NHC, you'll see it is quickly going into the pacific ocean.
Got a link?
 
And if you look at anything other than the NHC, you'll see it is quickly going into the pacific ocean.
Once it closes off circulation the NHC will show a 5 day prediction of where it is going, and those predictions are usually pretty accurate. Until then, who cares?
 
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