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Way to early to get an accurate prediction but if you go to Windy and run their 10 day graphical animation it shows the system forming above roatan and slobbering around building strength then mid next week tracking NNW between Cozumel and Cuba. Then it models to hit a blocking system and then at full strength sliding east along Cuba, the 10 day model ends with it stalled over Havana.
Way to early to trust but if it holds it does not look good for Cozumel diving starting this weekend.
Screenshot_20241112_053550_Windy.jpg
 
Now at 90% probability on the 7 day outlook...

1731442461408.png
 
Here's what Windfinder looks like for early Tuesday morning. Windguru showing waves 7.7' Monday.

1731461710891.png
 
Current windguru in kph (It is Mexico, port captain uses KPH and direction for closures.

Screenshot_20241113_072417_Chrome.jpg


Path keeps shifting which is probably why NOOA hasn't put a prediction out.

Current Windy animation

Screenshot_20241113_072756_Windy.jpg
 
Hard to say where it is going when the spaghetti model looks like this
1000000421.png
 
I'm now seeing max 3.1m or just under 10' on Windguru.

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