Heads up

[ggunn]

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE

Cozumel spans the range between 30-40% and 50-60% probability of tropical-storm-force winds (1-minute average >= 39 mph) from this storm, and the wind direction will be from the north to northwest. There is a pretty good chance that this will close the port, but the storm is moving pretty fast so its effects won't last long.

 

[DandyDon]

Now upgraded to TROPICAL STORM HELENE

 

[ggunn]

Now upgraded to TROPICAL STORM HELENE

I looked away for a minute...

It is predicted to be a Cat 3 storm when it hits the Florida panhandle.

 

[DandyDon]

I looked away for a minute...

It is predicted to be a Cat 3 storm when it hits the Florida panhandle.

Yeah, the Gulf is warmer than ever which will fuel the buildup for the 600-mile trip, but then you know how those storms swerve at times.

 

[ggunn]

Yeah, the Gulf is warmer than ever which will fuel the buildup for the 600-mile trip, but then you know how those storms swerve at times.

True dat. My peeps in Louisiana are keeping a close watch on it.

 

[ggunn]

The latest advisory shows the storm swinging a little more to the west, which would put Cozumel into a higher wind zone than it looked like this morning. The "most likely wind arrival time" graphic shows tropical storm winds starting up over Cozumel early tomorrow morning. As long as the center of the storm stays well to the east, though, it shouldn't be too bad.

 

[Shawn C]

NOAA is currently forecasting an increase in wind speed by 25kts in the next 24 hours. This would put it close to a hurricane as it passes Cancun but well below that in Cozumel. Current wind probabilities are only at 30% to reach 50 kts in CZM. Let's hope this holds.

 

[DandyDon]

Hurricanes always keep us guessing with strengths, directions, size, details. I like West Texas tornadoes so much better. They may come out of nowhere and explode anything they hit, but they seldom last for days and never are more than a mile wide.

 

[OregonDM]

Found a new webcam with a good view of the storm on Melgar Live Cozumel Helene Storm watch on the Melgar at Senor and the Queen a boozy diner with a view

 

[ggunn]

Found a new webcam with a good view of the storm on Melgar Live Cozumel Helene Storm watch on the Melgar at Senor and the Queen a boozy diner with a view

I assume that the port is closed?