the tropics are waking up
- Thread starter ggunn
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OP
Yes, and I am a bit surprised at how quiet things have been so far this year. I would have thought that with the widespread record breaking heat this summer the tropics would have been jumping.
Something just changed, though. Here in Austin we hadn't had measurable rainfall since the middle of June until last week, but now rain is in the forecast every day. A shift in the jet stream, maybe? I measured three inches at my house the other day while Dallas was being inundated.
The air over the Atlantic has been especially dry this year so far, some from Saharan dust but there are other things going on. That is projected to change here in about a week.
But yesterday was the 30 year anniversary of Hurricane Andrew. Andrew was the first named storm in 1992 which was really late in the season. It only takes one!
The last season that was this calm in July/early Aug was 1999 I believe and yet 4-5 large hurricanes formed in Sep-Oct of that year. There is still ALOT of time left in the season.
OP
You got that right. Austin where I live now is well insulated from tropical storms but I still have family in Lake Charles and Slidell. Lake Charles still hasn't recovered from Laura two years ago and it took out so many trees that I hardly recognize the place.
ccannon707
Contributor
Since I'm arriving 8/31 via Cancun, I admit since I saw that graphic I've been watching this with trepidation. Rain, even heavy rain can be a fact of life at this time of year here. Tropical Wave 4 is the first one... looks like it will pass by 9/3 or 4. It's the one behind it I hope doesn't inundate everything. One time in the past I've visited this time of year and had 1 (one) day of sunshine. Though bearable, fingers crossed it's not going to go quite like that... I'm bringing a first time visitor with me. The joke on the dive boat is oh dear, we're going to get wet. 
PS: My go to is this page: GOLDEN TRIANGLE WEATHER PAGE
PS: My go to is this page: GOLDEN TRIANGLE WEATHER PAGE
A number of weather sites are forecasting daily T-storms starting on the 30th. Ack.
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Forecasts more than a few days out are always questionable, but this is from WeatherUnderground...
ccannon707
Contributor
CZM Rain forecast:
Sept 1: .94 inches
Sept 2: 2.05 inches
Sept 3: .45 inches
Sept 4: .18 inches
Sept 5: scattered thunderstorms
Sept 1: .94 inches
Sept 2: 2.05 inches
Sept 3: .45 inches
Sept 4: .18 inches
Sept 5: scattered thunderstorms
OP
As for tropical systems the only one of any real concern is out past the Lesser Antilles and beginning to slice to the right.
