We've had an unprecedented number of fatalities both intended solo and unintended solo divers, several of which I did the body recoveries of.. I don't need to bolster my facts because they speak for themselves.. Last year we averaged over one fatality a month in SoCal alone, the majority where without a buddy at the time they died. You, and a few other's, prefer to worry about what label you could attach to the victim at the time of death rather then focus on the salient issue, which is at the time assistance was needed no one was around to help. Whether he was solo, buddyless, independant diver or whatever other lable you guys can dream up is beyond the scope of importance because the diver is still dead, and no one was around to help.. To the extent an emphasis on team diving can help prevent future fatalities you can continue to bet that I'll speak out against the practice..
You haven't had any such thing. That is a FLAT LIE.
Fewer than
ONE HUNDRED divers cap themselves while practicing this sport every year. That number has
not materially changed over the time that DAN has been keeping statistics.
You continually twist around the truth by omission, which is that
nearly all of the fatalities you cite above that were solo were
unintentionally solo.
Now, if you'd quit beating that drum so hard, you might actually recognize some facts, like:
1. An UNINTENTIONAL solo caused by someone being FORCIBLY paired in the shop or on the dive boat, as opposed to diving on their own, means they PROBABLY aren't equipped with BASIC redundancy - like a pony or doubles. An INTENTIONAL solo diver almost certainly has one of the above. Lots of gas enables solution of MOST problems without an accident. Constrained gas supply tends to kill people when the water turns brown.
2. A HEART ATTACK or EMBOLISM underwater will be 99% fatal IRRESPECTIVE of how many of those divers are solo or with a buddy - or even a DIR buddy. You cannot perform CPR in the water, nor can you use an AED. Without one of the two inside of 10 minutes from the onset of a heart attack,
YOU ARE DEAD FOR CERTAIN, and even CPR is unlikely to save you. An AED
might. In terms of statistics, here's one that you don't like but that I've quoted to you before and you've intentionally ignored - your odds of survival of a coronary event drop by 10% for every
minute that ALS (that is, an ADVANCED paramedic unit) is delayed from reaching you. Now Mike, would you care to pontificate on what the odds are of reaching ALS assistance within those 10 minutes in
any diving situation? You have, effectively, VERY close to ZERO CHANCE of survival of this event. Then again, your odds aren't much better at home - better than 75% of all initial coronary events are fatal IN THE LIVING ROOM! (See above for why) Heart attacks are not properly a "diving" fatality; you'd get the same mortality on the golf course or, most likely, in your living room. Without immediate recompression, an embolism in the cranial circulation is nearly ALWAYS fatal.
Let's look at 2001 - 77 deaths. Dig into the report, and you find some interesting things.
First, cardio and embolism problems were cited in 23 of the cases. Entrapment/lost in an overhead environment was responsible for 12. "Other" is a huge number, encompassing all kinds of bizarre stuff, and accounted for 30 cases. Finally, running out of air accounts for 11.
Even a cursory analysis discovers that neither the cardio or embolism events would have materially different outcomes with a "DIR buddy". Those lost/entrapped would be likely to be (and in fact most were) double-fatalities - both buddies died - which means that diving as a team actually
increases the number of people who die when something goes wrong.
So we have 35 of the 77 initially who would either have no outcome change with "DIR Diving", or actually
killed more people diving as a "team."
Now the "running out of air" people obviously would have benefitted from a second diver around with some gas. So I'll give you 11 of the 77. On the "other" category there are some truly bizarre things - about half of them would have benefitted from a "DIR buddy", and half would not have, although some DID have a buddy (and one or both died anyway.) So let's give 'ya half of those as beneficial.
So let's see where we are.
We have 77 deaths. 35 of them definitely had either a worse outcome (more dead) or no change due to a buddy or lack thereof. Another 15 had no change or a worse outcome in the "other" category, for a total of 50 where there either was no benefit to a real dive buddy, or a
negative impact to having one with you.
The remaining divers, all 27 of them, either had a buddy who was ineffective in resolving the problem (wasn't a "DIR buddy") or were diving solo, intentionally or not, and would have likely not died if they had a "DIR buddy" who could have rendered effective assistance of some kind.
Is this material? Well I'm sure it is if you are one of the brothers of a dead diver, but is it
statistically significant, given the number of dives actually made and the overall mortality rate?
Look Mike, if the standard is that
one death is too many, then we may as well ban diving TOMORROW.
Clearly, that isn't the standard.
So what is?
I argue that the clear statistical evidence is that the DIR system does
not and
can not materially "help" people avoid death while diving, in that the number of divers who croak
as a consequence of BEING the buddy of someone who dies is relatively close to those who
would not have died if they HAD a DIR-style buddy.
The facts simply don't bear out your claims and NEVER HAVE.
THIS is the crux of my problem with the pontificating that you do on this issue. The fact that you are so blinded by the zealotry of your view that you refuse to actually
analyze the facts and allow them to speak for themselves. Instead, you twist the truth around to fit a preconceived notion, ignore anyone who tries to put out the facts in front of your nose, and continue to chant the mantra - even as the Emporer is standing around naked INSISTING that he has clothes on.
When Joe Schmoe does this who cares? When an
instructor and someone with
credentials does this in a public forum its a problem; it can be and often
is cited for increasing government regulation and loss of freedom.
You want to know why I care, this is why. It is that the incessant pontification by you, GI (now departed, so I assume that will stop) and others "involved" in the GUE advocacy process that bother me, when the facts simply don't support the claims.
Some of that will draw a response, but only one - like your claim that somehow the other agency programs are responsible for the high "drop out" rate, and comparing diving to skiing. That's so silly as to be rediculous, and has to be a result of willful blindness - as I pointed out.
But when we are talking about diving
fatalities, and claims are being made of differences in
safety, I argue that before some agency takes a position, either officially or through their spokespeople (named or defacto), the ducks had better all be lined up in a nice, neat row, and the statistical evidence had better be clear before the claims are made - because the outcome of such pontifications is
often intervention and interference with freedom.