gopbroek
Contributor
Ernesto week to 10 days out?
Tropical Depression 2
- Thread starter ggunn
- Start date
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A tropical wave located near the Windward Islands continues to
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions appear generally favorable for some slow development over
the next week while the system moves westward at around 20 mph over
the Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions appear generally favorable for some slow development over
the next week while the system moves westward at around 20 mph over
the Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
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I really think that Cozumel is out of danger.
OP
- Messages
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- # of dives
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OP
Those are just the two and seven day cyclonic probabilities, and it's what every tropical storm looks like early on. The analysis says that it will likely encounter conditions more favorable for development later this week. It may dissipate, or it could develop into a Cat 5 storm, or it could get to be something in between. It certainly bears watching.
- Messages
- 54,177
- Reaction score
- 8,299
- # of dives
- 500 - 999
Got trip insurance that covers storms? I like trip insurance when leaving the country primarily for medical coverage, but if you don't have any yet, it might be good to shop for some that'd cover you if you buy before it's named, then change plans if it looks like a threat. But then if it does develop into a threat, airlines, resorts, and dive Ops usually let you change for free as they wouldn't want you if it hits.Perfect timing. We land on Friday
I take insurance out during hurricane season for precisely this reason. Never had to use it. We've dodged a few 'canes over the years either just before arriving or after our trip. This system doesn't look like it's going to do much for several days (if it does anything at all) so, if it does get named, I doubt it would happen in time to pull the plug on the trip. It sure looks like it will mean a bunch a lousy weather though.
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