Tropical Depression 2

[ggunn]

Its not gonna make it to Cozumel. Its going north up east coast.

That's probably what it will do, but keep an eye on it.

 

[Dave Dillehay]

It was a strong Cat 2 at landfall, not a 4. The current system has diminished into a nothing burger. Which makes me very happy as we land in 36 hours

.Thanks for the clarification, but I seem to recall it was cat 4 before landfall at Punta Sur.

 

[Manatee Diver]

I don't even worry about a system until the NHC sets up an invest for it. Half the systems don't even make it that far.

 

[ggunn]

I don't even worry about a system until the NHC sets up an invest for it. Half the systems don't even make it that far.

When the 7 day area for a potential storm is red, it usually develops into at least a TS.

 

[ggunn]

Wasn't he talking about different storms? Beryl did not make landfall at Punta Sur.

 

[Manatee Diver]

When the 7 day area for a potential storm is red, it usually develops into at least a TS.

I was speaking generally. Tomorrow they will probably setup an invest. But right now it is still a while off before it forms into a cyclone. And even assuming to tracks far southward from the current track at least a week off from hitting Coz.

 

[Scuba_Jenny]

It was named an invest yesterday.. if we are talking about the same storm wayyyyy out there...

 

[ggunn]

I was speaking generally.

So was I. This morning the probabilities are up to 70% and 90%, but a turn to the north is creeping into the prediction.

 

[Manatee Diver]

So was I. This morning the probabilities are up to 70% and 90%, but a turn to the north is creeping into the prediction.

It isn't creeping into the prediction an early model I saw like two days ago on a local Florida FB group showed a sharp northern turn before it hits the DR.

 

[ggunn]

It isn't creeping into the prediction an early model I saw like two days ago on a local Florida FB group showed a sharp northern turn before it hits the DR.

I was speaking of the seven day prediction on the NHC website, but if you follow hurricane predictions you know how quickly they can change.