There are lots of potential moving parts that could explain the perceived slowdown. Here are my hypotheses on why tourists might be bypassing Cozumel, in no particular order:
- Conflating reports of violence in narco circles as violence against tourists. These are generally far removed from both Cozumel and tourist areas
- Misreporting and/or misunderstanding of the ferry explosion (which now appears to have been a simple case of attempted insurance fraud)
- Not understanding poor choices in cases of violence against tourists (as in, being out alone, drunk, in the wee hours, and then being mugged.)
- Conflating reports of severe sargassum on Mayan Riviera beaches with Cozumel (which generally gets much less)
- Reports (many that appear to be accurate) about excessive taxi fares and rental car company fees
- The natural ebb and flow of the economy. Mid-August through mid-November is the lowest of low season. It's when locals may be taking their own vacations, and some shops do close up during this time