MikeFerrara:There are a couple of reasons that I say the stage/decompression bottle are more likely to be lost.
The biggest reason is just that they only have a single output valve and a single reg. Especially in cold water, where free flows aren't uncommon, there's just always the chance that the single valve/reg will be what fails. Of course cold water isn't the only thing that causes free flows. There are purly mechanical failures that can cause air to leak out or water to leak in...but depth, even in warm water, results in a much greater demand through the reg...at 33 ft double...66, triple...99 quadruple ect. A reg can freeze even in warm water simply due to the cooling effect of a greater amount of gas expanding within it at depth. The combination of cold and depth is, of course, the worst. I know some divers get to dive warm water but most of the world has some pretty cold water.
Other reasons include the fact that they are clipped on and therefor ditcheable. Something that's ditchable, might get ditched. Also, sometimes (mostly in caves) we actually leave them to be picked up when we need them. They might get dropped (staged) on the way in or even on a previous setup dive. We hope that it's still there and that it works when we get to it but it might not.
Makes sense.