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Hurricane Rita

Discussion in 'Storm Watch' started by DandyDon, Sep 19, 2005.

  1. DandyDon

    DandyDon Old men ought to be explorers ScubaBoard Supporter

    # of Dives: 200 - 499
    Location: One kilometer high on the Texas Central Plains
    49,281
    4,852
    113
    Looks like she's running a bit south of Katrina's path, with expectations of slamming the Florida Keys, then crossing The Bathtub to hit Houston with extra energy pulled from the hot Gulf of Texas. :11:

    Gawd, but I'd hate to be on the Overseas Hiway today. It's bad enough getting out of their on Sunday, but with a major evacuation - wow. I hope it's one-way out on both sides of the road, and I'm sure that many are being sent to Car Sound Road from Key Largo.

    My Houston friends tell me that they have not had a bad hit since 1977 and today's general population doesn't remember how to prepare and survive. I guess that those over 40 who have lived there all their lives might, but the metro area has grown so much, it won't be the same. With much of the swamp we call The City of Houston below 20 feet elevation, I guess we can expect the possibilities that a storm surge to push water up the channel and bayous and flood the concrete jungle.

    For quick advice, see: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
    (1) Get ply-board, duct tape, tools, bottled water, canned foods, plastic sewage bags, bleach, etc. today!!
    (2) Book hotels inland now for Thursday night - all weekend.
    (3) Beat the rush out on Thursday. The escape routes may be full on Friday. Take the water, food, zip locks and sewage bags, and bleach with you.

    How far does one need to go to escape flooding? I wouldn't know? I remember getting heavy rains from Karla in the 60s, and I'm 600 miles away, 3,000 feet higher...

    Monday morning maps....
     
  2. simbrooks

    simbrooks Snr LayZboy Meteorologist ScubaBoard Supporter

    # of Dives: 100 - 199
    Location: Orlando, Fl
    7,352
    13
    0
    Could be heading to Houston, could be a bit further east than that and possibly even as far as NO again according to some of the current models. It sure seems to be a fast moving storm. Its also still a bit early to guess when it'll turn more north/northwest from its current westerly trajectory.

    They'd make both sides one-way, although that is still only 4 lanes at best.
     
  3. DandyDon

    DandyDon Old men ought to be explorers ScubaBoard Supporter

    # of Dives: 200 - 499
    Location: One kilometer high on the Texas Central Plains
    49,281
    4,852
    113
    It could go east, west, south - who knows? Tomorrow will not be a good day to buy supplies in Houston if it stays headed for them. Today would be much better.

    Dang, I edited my misspells in the original post, but could not change the title. Oh well.

    I was wrong, Houston has not had a bad hurricane since Alicia in '83, and Carla was in '61. http://www.wxresearch.com/houhur.htm
     
  4. Dee

    Dee ScubaBoard Supporter ScubaBoard Supporter

    # of Dives: 1,000 - 2,499
    Location: near Houston, Texas
    16,979
    10
    38
    I don't want to start ringing the alarm just yet but we'll definately be watching this one. I remember Alica and Carla. Nasty.
     
  5. Doc

    Doc Was RoatanMan

    # of Dives: None - Not Certified
    Location: Chicago & O'Hare heading thru TSA 5x per year
    9,954
    2,730
    113
    Dee, Mr Bill says: Texas.

    Sorry.
     
  6. Dee

    Dee ScubaBoard Supporter ScubaBoard Supporter

    # of Dives: 1,000 - 2,499
    Location: near Houston, Texas
    16,979
    10
    38
    I'll take his word for it.
     
  7. lamont

    lamont Photographer

    7,554
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    if I'm reading NHC right, they're predicting it to strengthen to a category 3 in 72 hours, and it will still have some more time to spin over the gulf of mexico before slamming into texas? sounds ugly. i hope they're wrong...
     
  8. lamont

    lamont Photographer

    7,554
    629
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    latest discussion:

    EVEN THOUGH RITA IS NOT YET A HURRICANE...CONDITIONS APPEAR
    CONDUCIVE FOR IT TO BECOME ONE SOON...PRIOR TO REACHING THE GULF OF
    MEXICO. INTENSIFICATION TO MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS OVER THE GULF OF
    MEXICO APPEARS PROBABLE...GIVEN THAT THE DYNAMICAL MODELS ARE
    FORECASTING A LARGE UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO DOMINATE THE AREA
    AND PROVIDE AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK WIND SHEAR. ADDITIONALLY...OCEAN
    TEMPERATURES ARE QUITE WARM IN THE GULF...AND NOT JUST AT THE
    SURFACE. THE NEW OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASICALLY AN UPDATE
    OF THE PREVIOUS ONE THROUGH DAY 3...THEN CALLING FOR A PEAK AT 105
    KT OVER THE GULF IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE LATEST SHIPS GUIDANCE. THE
    GFDL AND FSU SUPERENSEMBLE FORECAST AN EVEN STRONGER HURRICANE OVER
    THE GULF...AND THIS IS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE.
     
  9. cobaltbabe

    cobaltbabe Diva of the Deep

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    I just read on CNN that they are evacuating parts of New Orleans again. Scary scary time we live in. For those who are and will be affected, know you are in all of our thoughts. Stay safe.
     
  10. Dee

    Dee ScubaBoard Supporter ScubaBoard Supporter

    # of Dives: 1,000 - 2,499
    Location: near Houston, Texas
    16,979
    10
    38
    Galveston is supposed to start voluntary evacuation tomorrow. I'm afraid this one is gonna be a doozy.
     

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