As Kari said, the wind is what will affect your diving - and those temps are about right - it gets chily at night and even during the day when a norte rolls through
I use buoyweather.com - but unless you subscribe to it, you can only see a couple of days out
Wind Guru or Wind Finder are the next best!
What you don't want to see on these are winds from the west, NW, or North any higher than 10 knots or so
The more easterly it is - the better!
Have a wonderful trip!
@Christi - I've been watching your site for a long time, when I see a recent dive trip report with water temp on your index page, I believe what it says. Do you have several recent 'in the water' temp reports?
Most of the other water temp reports I read, I consider either unreliable or misleading.
Dive Paradise (I'm not knocking them, they're long time friends) seems never to report anything other than 79F water temp (even when it's 82F). I've been watching it for years - maybe it has changed, but I never saw it happen. If you do a 'view source' on their home page, that weather table appears to be a standard html table with data that has to be manually updated (i.e., not streaming in from some other site).
I've tracked the closest real buoy (not a virtual buoy) for years - this NOAA buoy is east of Cozumel, but not too far:
NDBC - Station 42056
Water temp is read 1 meter below the buoy. Every time I read it, it's higher than what divers are getting on the reefs. I'm not saying the buoy is wrong, I'm saying the temps are different.
I just emailed some very experienced diver friends living in Cozumel. They've been getting water temp readings as low as 74F this week. As a matter of fact, I didn't bring the subject up, they did - because they're surprised at how low the temp is.