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A reasonable hunch, yes - could have happened that way.Non-boaters instinctively backing away from the rising water (as discussed) certainly makes sense in this instance (no facts just opinion).
I'd not inflate it until I swam out, I hope.When a post previously mentioned how unprepared we all are for such an event, I thought of you and how you WOULD be prepared by wearing your vest. However, getting trapped in the hull......not sure how I'd handle that one.