Sorry, can't resist... for days every time I see the title of this thread this is all I can think of;
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I think it is, because the simultaneous failure for single tank and pony could be in two regulators, as opposed to the manifold failure, which is a (sort of) tank valve. Tank valve failures are much less common than regulator failures. So, two of those could certainly be a higher probability than a single valve failure. Most manifolds have 3 consecutive static o-rings guarding the uncontrolled loss of air through the cross bar, (meaning all three would have to fail on a given dive) and a valve seat guarding uncontrolled loss in one of the cylinders in the isolator, and valve stem seals guarding loss in the other cylinder. I'm not sure that there has ever been a confirmed case of isolator failure actually resulting in total gas loss from both cylinders in manifolded doubles.
However, two consecutive regulator failures is also extremely unlikely, unless there were environmental reasons for the failure, like a freeze up. So you're very likely safe with either.
I think this is a very reasonable summary. I dive BM manifolded doubles, and I dive BM singles, with a pony. And, the only difference for me is the amount of bottom gas I am carrying (the pony does not count toward that). Either configuration affords a redundant gas supply as far as I am concerned. And, I consider - in the absence of any actual data - the likelihood of a simultaneous 'double' regulator failure with a BM single and a pony, to be equivalent to that of an isolator manifold failure on my doubles - i.e. VERY (very, very, very) low.However, two consecutive regulator failures is also extremely unlikely . . . . . . So you're very likely safe with either.
I use a pony. 2 first stages n 2 second stages for me.
The fundamental flaw in scuba diving is the octopus. Putting your alternate air source on someone else is a defective solution for an OOA situation.
You should be able to access safety equipment 100% of the time.Last sentence...why?
You guys absolute insistence on doubles rather than a pony for deeper recreational diving makes me laugh. Once again, one size does NOT fit all!
I’ve got an online friend elsewhere on the Great Lakes who wants to get into deeper wrecks (beyond 100ft). She’s is an excellent diver, judging from the photos/videos I’ve seen, but there’s no way she’s going doubles. She’s about my age (early 50s), but with worse knee issues than I have. There’s no way she can handle even my dwarf doubles (HP80s) up the boat ladder. She can handle a HP100 and a slung AL40 just fine. She’s been diving that for a bit and it works just fine. She has absolutely NO interest in going tech, so even attempting SM ain’t gonna happen.