To go back to the mere statistics of this topic..
45% of the fatal accidents where obese people.
55% of the fatal accidents where in other words NOT obese people.
Lets assume that divers are "average joes" with the mentioned 30% being obese.
Now, lets assume 1000 dives is done (for easy math).
450 dives of 1000 is 45%
550 dives of 1000 is 550%
Lets assume 100 divers (still for easy math).
450 dives on 30 obese divers (30%) would be 15 dives per diver.
550 dives on 70 non-obese divers (60%) would be 7,86 dives per diver.
That means that (assuming each dive have the same risk factor and all dives where the same type of dive) that for obesity to be a non-factor, obese divers would have to do almost twice the ammount of dives the non-obese divers does.
Could this be the case? Probably not.
Then comes the next question; What is the distribution of "risky dives" for obese vs non-obese divers?
Now, if we can analyze all angles and find that obese divers DOES have a higher risk per dive than non-obese divers, what is the reason for it?
Is it the fact that they are obese? Probably not.
Is it the fact that they are in weaker physical condition (assuming that generally they do have a lower stamina)? Possibly.
Could it be that obese divers generally have weaker diving skills than non-obese divers? Fully possible and if this is the case;
Could it be related to obese divers being less active divers than the non-obese, therefore getting less practice? Possibly, and that would lead us down the road of;
Is less active divers running a higher risk of an incident per dive? Probably..
Enough ranting already..