I'M NOT SUGGESTING WE STOP TEACHING OOA OPTIONS.
I didn't think you were suggesting this. As I said to Peter I assumed it was a thought experiment and that's all good.
What I AM saying is that IF we didn't teach OOA options, would we put a better/greater emphasis on not running out of air. And would that make a difference?
Sure. If you're walking a tight-rope with no net, then the motivation to not fall is much higher. That's true. But the consequences if you do are severe. Risk consists of chance AND consequence. Perhaps by not teaching OOA procedures you can lower the chance somewhat but in exchange for more severe consequences.... As a thought experiment it's interesting, but in reality we should be concerned with the *total* risk exposure and not just one element of that.
I agree with the wake-up call. For the students I think it would be helpful for them to hear the 41% statistic when you're talking to them about the need to arrive at the safety stop with a proper reserve and the need to keep a good watch on air supply. Naturally this is a risk you want them to be aware of and to mitigate. However; the OOA procedure *is*, in fact, a "fix". Yes, it shouldn't be taken lightly but a "fix" is necessary in some situations and you don't want to make them so afraid of it that when it does happen they freak out and increase their chances of failing. It's one of those cases where *what* you say is far less important than *how* you say it, I would think.I'm also asking if the fact that we teach OOA options unwittingly gives a singal to new divers that it's no big deal to run out of air because there are ways to "fix" that?
And I'm also suggesting that the data from DAN, showing 41% of 350 fatalities having OOA as the trigger should be a wake-up call that something might be amiss. If the number was 1% I don't think I'd be on my soapbox.
I would say "in addition to or instead of". There's still an underlying assumption in your statement that what we do now works, and while it should, the data seems (to me at least) to suggest differently.
Ok, well I'm not sure we know enough about the data to really speculate on what it's telling us. Maybe of that 41%, 80% of those ALSO included buddy separation. If that were the case, (I'm not saying it is, because I simply don't know... this is to illustrate the point) then you might conclude that there isn't much wrong with the OOA procedures but that we're not putting enough emphasis on buddy contact.
You see what I'm saying? Root causes of accidents are seldom apparent from a superficial reading of the statistics and while it's tempting to draw conclusions from the statistics, I think it's important to really dig into the details too.
R..