....the oil is moving EASTWARD with the prevailing currents, AWAY fron the Flower Gardens, and there are no indications it be moving westward...FG isn't in danger from THIS particular oil spill.
Is this based on a scientific study or a gut feeling? Your use of the ALL CAPS WORDS seem to emphasize your certainty. However, you need to account for weather (among other variables), such as hurricanes, affecting the area. Amazing how the folks whose job it is to study this haven't published any definitive conclusions so far.
Here's a link to an article regarding the uncertainty: http://www.associatedcontent.com/article/2966134/how_will_the_oil_spill_in_the_gulf.html
I hope you're right, but the truth is, right now, we just don't know.
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