Things look like they will stay a little sloppy this week. The WNW XMAS storm continues to fill in and peak today ... dropped a small amount of overnight precipitation too. On a positive note, the bigger system for the 28th/29th looks like it will have a pretty sharp NW angle ... so, we'll benefit from some significant shadowing here in OC. Looks like yet another healthy system is possible after the New Year. Here's an excerpt from the Surfline forecast:
OUTLOOK: The new WNW swell peaks Monday for another round of fairly solid surf. More, strong NW swell is due for the middle to second half of the week.
SHORT RANGE
Our new WNW swell (280-300) will fill in further and peak on Monday. A couple of things to keep in mind about this swell: First, it is not nearly as westerly as the swell this past Wednesday so won’t show nearly as much energy at some of the out of the way places. That being said look for the better winter breaks of San Diego, Ventura, parts of the South Bay and select spots of Orange County to see the surf build into the head high range on Monday. Good spots in those regions see sets running a couple feet+ overhead and standout spots of South San Diego, Southern Ventura and select other areas see sets running several feet overhead and bigger at times.
Look for gradually fading surf on Tuesday but the better exposed breaks still see easy shoulder to head high+ waves, while standouts are in the overhead to well overhead range.
Conditions: A passing front to the north on Monday will set up at least slightly breezier onshore flow. Morning winds look generally light, with afternoon W/NW winds building 8-12 knots+. For Tuesday/Wednesday we’ll fall back into the light morning winds followed by onshore W/NW flow at 6-10 knots in the afternoons.
LONG RANGE
NPAC: Things look very promising pretty much through the end of the year. A strong, very long period NW swell (290-300) shows Wednesday into Thursday the 28th-29th , with reinforcing NW swell likely holding solid waves into Friday 30th , before gradually backing down over the New Year’s weekend. Although a lot of spots will pick up only partial energy due to the somewhat extreme angle of the swell, good winter breaks will be well overhead and standouts push back into the double overhead range. Even further out it looks like a smaller, but still healthy, NW swell is possible from the 1st-3rd. These storms still have further development, so stay tuned for further updates.