Scott L
Contributor
To me, this rip off of "Survivor on diving" comletely misses the point of diving.
It takes away from diving by adding nonsense to it---it's like someone who is trying to make Snow skiing more fun, by playing catch with a football as you fly down a double diamond run. This ruins the zen and the sport of both skiing AND footbal.
I think Sea Hunt and Cousteu put alot of us in the water back in the late 60's and throughout the 70's...James Bond films did not hurt either, to continue carrying the "adventure" aspect of diving, and to keep the idea of diving in front of a large audience. But the real issue here is that diving begain as "an Adventure Sport", for adventurers...it was NOT a sport for everyone on your block, or in your neighborhood. With the advent of DEMA, and the massive ad machinery used by the the collective, by 2000 we had dive shops on almost every corner,in parts of south Florida ( ok, slight exageration).
Many people got into diving, that should never have been divers--it was not their sport--they did not really enjoy it, they were terrible at it, and there was no one around to really help them to enjoy it...But, there were plenty around to help them spend more money on more diving or gear.
Now with a looming global depression, the middle class is shrinking, and the spending habits and leisure activities are changing. The dive store on every corner we once had, is about to become a moment of history--it is over for them now.
Who will do well? Those who were lucky or smart enough to have built their dive shops in areas with a very high concentration of real divers ( sorry, Retail site Potential Studies won't help much with this).
After the massive shrinking of dive market, there will still be "Adventure Divers", and there will still be some dive shops left. My guess, is that Charter Boat businesses that maintain a good Rental Gear inventory, could do well selling 6 month to 1 year old rental gear to their divers---their divers get to decide if they lke certain gear, and the shop makes out on the rental--covering the price of their inventory, and then gets to sell it long before it is old, at prices that will destroy brand new Internet gear sales. Wetsuits begin this "evolution", then regulator and computer rentals, then fins , and then anything their divers express an interest in....Demo first by rental, then buy later.
There are too many charter boats right now, but charter boats are the key--they can't be replaced by Internet sales, and they are the real heart of the dive industry..they have instructors of their own, they can run trips outside their local areas--they can offer the adventure diver of old, pretty much everything the want or need in diving....with no bad blood about high costs or having crappy gear pushed on people.
If you want an example of an ideal dive operation, look at Jim Abernethy's Scuba Adventures...While I don't think Jim does the "rental to later sell" idea I mentioned, he certainly could do this if he wanted. And, if he did, there would be ZERO reason for a DIVER to ever visit another dive operation--unless they wanted to dive at some destination Jim does not go to.
Some keys to Jim's success:
* He is as excited about diving today as he was 25 years ago--and you feel it...this in contrast to many dive operators where it is "hurry up, get on the boat---then, hurry up, get off the boat..".. in other words, many have lost the spark, at it is just a business they no longer enjoy.
* Jim does not usually run his own boats, but instead plays "Johnny Carson on the water", and entertains his divers...and takes them on awesome dives, SHARING his enjoyment and skill at finding adventure on every dive...THIS IS WHAT DIVERS WILL PAY FOR!!!
Bottom Line...A shop without a boat does not offer enough. The Internet is going to kill it. The Internet can not kill the boat.
Also, there are too many NEVER-EVERS in diving, thanks to PADI and NAUI and DEMA, and all their friends. Creating "survival competitions" for people who wish they could win at something, is not going to help diving--it is going to help the niche of generation Xers that need mediocre competitions in order to feel good about themselves. The market for diving is going to shrink. Plan for this, and the real values, located in the right places, will flourish in the long run.
Regards,
Dan Volker
Great post. I would also offer that Jupiter Dive Center has an extremely good business model and seems to be flourishing. Well stocked shop with top brands, friendly service and two sizable dive boats. Of course it also helps that the dive boats are docked 20 ft from the shop and the owner is a former CPA and Jupiter diving is amoung the nation's best. Scott