With any sport that carries a given element of risk, the first experiences are critical.
How many young men go out and buy a crotch-rocket for their first motorcycle, and end up in the ER in short order because they're starting out with WAY more bike than their experience level is ready to handle?
Anyone have accident statistics on sky-diving for the first ten jumps of new skydivers? I'd warrant the risk factor there is also higher until the participant gains more experience.
NHTSA data indicates the greatest accident risk for drivers is during the first year or two of driving, until they gain enough experience to handle the unexpected and to avoid hazards. We see this playing out in the states where teen drivers are being subjected to greater limitations.
Not to either defend or defame PADI or any other agency, but I'd suspect that ANY new diver, regardless of what agency they trained with or how extensive their training was, faces their greatest risks during their first ten dives. More extensive training, without a doubt, helps minimize the risk factors by teaching the students the techniques necessary to either avoid danger, or to handle it without panicking; still, under duress even well-trained people can sometimes suffer critical lapses.
Looking at the statistics that were posted, even well-experienced divers sometimes suffer critical lapses, and I would guess some of those are due to complacency or over-confidence. I'd bet, though, that a lot more experienced divers suffered lapses, but because of their extensive experience, it produced nothing more than an "aw, #%*!" before the diver handled it properly. Training and experience help to keep lapses from landing you on the statistics list.
Is it a miracle if a PADI-trained diver survives their first ten dives? I guess it depends on what kind of perspective you have. Myself, when I consider all the things in this world that can go wrong, I sometimes think it's a miracle when I survive another mundane day. Life isn't safe. Every intersection on our roads is a "kill zone". Sun exposure could give me metastatic melanoma. Nasty diseases abound. Criminals prowl our cities. Momentary inattention can produce a serious industrial accident.
All we can do is reduce the risk factors; we cannot eliminate them altogether.
How many young men go out and buy a crotch-rocket for their first motorcycle, and end up in the ER in short order because they're starting out with WAY more bike than their experience level is ready to handle?
Anyone have accident statistics on sky-diving for the first ten jumps of new skydivers? I'd warrant the risk factor there is also higher until the participant gains more experience.
NHTSA data indicates the greatest accident risk for drivers is during the first year or two of driving, until they gain enough experience to handle the unexpected and to avoid hazards. We see this playing out in the states where teen drivers are being subjected to greater limitations.
Not to either defend or defame PADI or any other agency, but I'd suspect that ANY new diver, regardless of what agency they trained with or how extensive their training was, faces their greatest risks during their first ten dives. More extensive training, without a doubt, helps minimize the risk factors by teaching the students the techniques necessary to either avoid danger, or to handle it without panicking; still, under duress even well-trained people can sometimes suffer critical lapses.
Looking at the statistics that were posted, even well-experienced divers sometimes suffer critical lapses, and I would guess some of those are due to complacency or over-confidence. I'd bet, though, that a lot more experienced divers suffered lapses, but because of their extensive experience, it produced nothing more than an "aw, #%*!" before the diver handled it properly. Training and experience help to keep lapses from landing you on the statistics list.
Is it a miracle if a PADI-trained diver survives their first ten dives? I guess it depends on what kind of perspective you have. Myself, when I consider all the things in this world that can go wrong, I sometimes think it's a miracle when I survive another mundane day. Life isn't safe. Every intersection on our roads is a "kill zone". Sun exposure could give me metastatic melanoma. Nasty diseases abound. Criminals prowl our cities. Momentary inattention can produce a serious industrial accident.
All we can do is reduce the risk factors; we cannot eliminate them altogether.