My apologies for having wasted your time. For more meaningful details, please read the original article, or contact the researchers cited therein.
I do appreciate your dive experience and your skills. However, the purpose of he post was to draw the attention of New Divers and Those Considering Diving to the general challenges of cold water diving.
Lets revisit...
The article makes a blanket conclusion that diving in cold water with poor visibility and unseen objects is more dangerous than diving in warm, clear water with no unseen objects. I believe this is a logical, common sense and foregone conclusion, therefore for DAN to have made such a statement seems beneath them. They themselves did very little to explain the conclusion... so let me try... just a little.
Cold Water increases risks for many things in diving, most of which can be dismissed by proper preparation, training and equipment foir the diving at hand. Your risk of hypothermia certainly increases as do certain lung maladies and even heart maladies etc... however a properly dressed (insulated) diver quickly overcomes these and so the idea that temperature alone increases risk of death is eliminated almost entirely.
Limited Visibility increases risk of most likely - panic but possibly also the risk of entanglement, entrapment or injury from unforseen objects. These too are easily mitigated by properly trained and prepared divers.
The one thing among all of this that speaks out above all else is Panic. Some of the best trained, well equipped and prepared divers will still have the tendancy to panic. So panic is the X factor here... and because DAN has focused on Panic many times before in it's articles, I will not say anymore about that.
Cold, Limited Vis and unseen objects may all contribute to Panic... and most likely so in divers who are not properly trained and prepared.
What we have in the US inland waters is just that. A good number of ill-outfitted, ill-prepared and ill-trained divers coming out of Open Water classes thinking they're ready to take on the rigors of cold, limited visibility inland dives. Quite frankly, most of them are not prepared. I would like to see a DAN article which focuses on the poor training being offered these days across the country - as it - and it alone is what leads to most of these accidents.
You'll find many people on this board - and threads related, that talk directly to this problem. Don't run from cold, limited visibility water - I say run from Instructors who teach in these areas of the country that are not fulfilling their duty to properly prepare you for their rigors.
Cheers... and be safe!