you are forgetting to factor in wetsuit compression.
When we discuss the lift required to float the rig at the surface, we are assuming that the diver is neutrally buoyant on his own, and all of the weight is attached to the rig, i.e. no weight belt because most people are moving to integrated weights of some sort and prefer not to ditch. This equates to the worst case scenario at depth which is a full tank, and full wetsuit compression.
Where you are missing right now is that you aren't factoring in wetsuit compression which is one of two things a BC has to compensate for. It has to compensate for any delta in unit buoyancy caused by exposure protection as well as the weight of the gas carried. In this case it is 11lbs of gas *backgas and pony*, and somewhere around 10lbs of buoyancy introduced by the wetsuit as worst case during compression. Now, the rest of the weight that he is carrying is being used to make him neutral so the bc isn't compensating for it, however in order to remain comfortably at the surface you need a buffer of 10 or so pounds of lift to keep your head above water. In that case a 30lb wing is close, but I would want to verify that the wing actually has 30lbs of lift. Pretty easy on a scale with your rig on, just have a buddy fill it with water and weigh before and after it is filled.
The other reason to consider a bit more wing lift in this circumstance is how thin the wetsuit is and while the OP obviously has bioprene and the USMC have likely given him some more cold tolerance than others, if you decide to add a 5mm hooded vest or go up in wetsuit thickness, you have no buffer in the wing which requires purchasing a new wing. Reason I initially suggested the DSS wings is that the LCD40 is narrow enough that there is no taco around the tanks and since he's using a FX120, there is no concern with length. Going from the LCD 20 to the 40 you go from a 16x22 wing, to a 17.5x26 wing, and the LCD30 is a 16.5x26 so you aren't really getting a significantly larger profile.
I actually looked at the LCD and fell in love with it but the "fad" towards donuts pushed me more towards the Torus. I called Toby and he's a very smart man, but I think he's just a bit frustrated discussing the same thing with people over and over again. You mention the word "zippers" or "donut" or "pinch flats" and he will amaze you with a lot of information, wanted or not. Unfortunately my sentence was a trifecta, "since the Torus doesn't have zippers, if I were to get a pinch flat how much would it cost to send it in for repair? Also, could I purchase another donut bladder and try my hand at stitching it myself if you guys were out of business by some catastrophic event?". LOL big mistake. I didn't need convincing, as I can see the merits of each design, but it didn't matter to him. If something happens to my wing I just wanted to know I can send it in and pay XX dollars. I also discussed my buoyancy issues with him which also seemed to frustrate him a little bit. He has a funny deep "here we go again" breath/sigh he makes right before you hit on one of those subjects that he has an auto response for . Anyways, it is what drove me to the pool to prove it to myself before ordering, and eventually led to this post and my recent purchase from somewhere else (I went to the dive shop to fill my pony bottle and told them what I was about to do and they made me a quote). He may just have been having a bad day though, and we're all entitled to one... not that he was mean or anything... just a tiny bit irritated? Absolutely great and knowledgeable guy though, as well as very helpful. I also had spoken to DGX (Geoffrey), and since I live close by (hour and a couple minutes away) I wanted to drive by and talk to someone, look at stuff, kick tires, shake hands, ya know?.... but they told me I couldn't and to just call in and speak to Geoffrey instead. Kinda lost my sale there as I'm a visual guy. Great guy also to speak to and very knowledgeable. I would wager that Tobin is a lot more technically proficient in diving details though. Anyways, I digress.
The buoyancy loss at depth for a worst case 8 pounds for the suit and I'm ok with without calculating that in because I'm making myself neutral at the safety stop (with near empty tank). The 8 pounds is a click or two on the wing at depth, and in a catastrophic failure I can swim it up (I think). BUT if there were a drastic failure of the wing at depth on a full tank and I absolutely had to go up... I'd actually be really heavy... 8 pounds from suit loss and quite a few pounds of gas for a total of ~16 pounds negative. Can I swim that up comfortably while already stressed out from the catastrophic failure? This is why I want the 10 pound ditchable on my belt. You know what people don't do that I think they should? Figure out how much weight they can swim up from 60 ft without having a heart attack. I just realized I have no idea how much I can lift without too much exertion. Why don't the agencies put that as a requirement? It certainly would curve the number of OW severely overweighted (too much lead, not lipids) students. I'm doing the AOW course with SDI now, and maybe we will. This Saturday we're doing something with reels in the pool... exciting.