couple scenarios
All weight on the rig-wing has to be able to pick up the whole rig, in this case 22lbs+10lbs of gas+anything else that is clipped off to it=32lbs minimum, so choose a 35-40lb wing.
As I understand the OP, it took him 20 # to sink himself (in salt water) WITHOUT any rig on - only his pony bottle. If the pony bottle is 2 # negative, then I see where you get 22# from.
But, once he adds a 6# BP, harness/rigging, and regulators, he's not going to be carrying 22 # of lead. If he errs on the heavy side, I guess he might be carrying 12 # of lead.
So, yes, as I said before, if he puts all his lead on the rig itself, I can see where he would need a wing 30+ pounds.
But, the OP said he is 20 # positive in his wetsuit without his rig on. So, if he put 10 or 12 # on a belt, then even if he separates from his rig, he's still going to be 8 - 10 # positive. You said weight on the diver can make the wing smaller but only by the amount that is required to sink the diver. Well, he needs 20 # to sink. So, if I am using what you said correctly, then putting the 10 - 12 # on his belt still leaves him safe and it still means his wing only needs to be able to support less than or right around 20 # to float his rig.
Is the difference that you're only allowing for putting 8 on a belt because that's what it takes to compensate for his personal buoyancy but not including his wetsuit buoyancy? Why can't he include his wet suit buoyancy in that number, thus moving all 10 - 12 pounds of his lead to his belt and still being 8 - 10 # positive at the surface (and still at least slightly positive even at depth)?
---------- Post added January 8th, 2016 at 11:41 AM ----------
...if you wear a heavy weight belt on your body, you could become negative buoyant without your BCD.
Sure, but that doesn't seem to be a factor here. The OP only needs 10 - 12 pounds of lead and he already checked it would take 20 pounds to sink him in his wetsuit, without his BCD (and assuming he holds onto his pony bottle).