Blackwood
Contributor
The raw numbers are that the annual fatalities as tracked by D.A.N. are pretty much the same now (even a little lower) than they were back in "the good old days." We used to use 100/fatalties/year as the mark, now it's about 90. (I think the highest was one year when we had 130 back in the 90s.)
The small fallacy with all of this (and I just had this discussion with a researcher at D.A.N. the other day) is that the raw numbers represent the numerator. What we don't know is the number of people diving or the number of total dives they make which is the denominator. So there's no way statistically to say whether 90/year is better than 100/year because if it was 100 out of 25,000,000 dives back then and it's 90 out of 20,000,00 dives now, then that would actually be an increase in the rate even though the raw number dropped.
But if you accept that the raw number is fairly indicative of the overall trend, it begs the other question: If dive training is not as good today as it used to be, and by a significant amount (if we could quantify it), why haven't the fatality numbers shot up?
And if they haven't shot up (and freely agreeing that even one death is one too many) are we making much ado about nothing vis a vis traning standards as the culprit since they may not have any effect on the fatality rate?
(Just being Devil's Advocate here. Don't shoot the messenger.)
- Ken
Firstly, as was said by Bob above, things have changed beyond training standards. Perhaps more people survive because it's quicker to access medical attention is. Perhaps more people survive because equipment is better. I don't know.
But let's assume the premise: training standards have no effect on the fatality rate. As a dive student, I expect more from a class than learning to avoid death.