Yeah, Yeah, everyone jumps to worst case scenario. The reality is you run a risk walking out your front door everyday, but billions of people do it, you run a risk eating that sirloin steak tonight, you may choke, you may even die, are you now going to stop eating steak because it may save your life, doubtful, you mitigate those risks by looking left and right before crossing the street, and taking smaller bites of the steak and chewing well.
Its the same in scuba, you mitigate your risks by informed training, there is no secret formula. Sure its great to stroke our egos, scratch our chins and sagely tell everyone, "Gee this is such a dangerous sport", best you dont get involved because its beyond you or you dont have the passion for it or you dont want to further your education or whatever",.... but of course I am good to go, that goes without saying!.
The reality I would argue is almost every new student is hopelessly unprepared for their first dive, and often many dives after that, in fact with modern teaching methods I would argue many basic qualified vacation / recreational divers remain hopelessly unprepared throughout their diving lives, they do and will continue to make mistakes which "could" kill them, but you know what, millions of them continue to dive and 99.99% pop out afterwards none the worse for wear,... despite this been such a terribly "risky and dangerous game".
Most of them actually even enjoy it,... heaven forbid, we dont want that do we.!
That is the reality,....not this BS about "Oh maybe you shouldn't dive cos you may die" attitude.
Sure, someone somewhere will look at a situation, reconcile himself / herself with the risk and gamble, maybe they will die, nothing you or I can do will change that, however 99.99% of divers will heed their training and little inner voice and back away, so maybe we just need to give people more credit and cut the drama, its also not necessary.
You know what NWGratefuldiver, I dont come here a lot, because in general I find its a lot of hot air and testosterone been pumped around,..... but, by and large I have always considered your posts as one of the few which were levelheaded and well thought out, I am rather surprised you have succumbed to the general Scubaboard malaise of "only I can do this well, so best you dont dive, you may die" attitude.
I have no idea what you're reading, but nowhere did I say or insinuate what you just claimed I said.
What's a "worst-case" scenario? Some newly certified diver going out into a situation they have no business being in because a newly-certified "dive pro" assures them it'll be OK? That's how we lose people here every year. OK, you can blow off those few who die as inconsequential, because they're a tiny minority of divers. But the majority of people who get certified ... roughly three out of every four ... drop out of scuba within a year of their initial certification. There are a number of reasons for that ... one of the significant reasons is that they do something to scare themselves out of diving ... something they came out of their initial training patently unqualified to manage or even imagine. Most simply learn to rely on someone else to "keep them safe", which is well and good I suppose if you're diving in a tropical tourist destination where the dive guides are used to seeing people who dive at that level, and are prepared to manage them. They only lose a few per year in places like Cozumel, and what the heck ... there's plenty more where they came from. So let's not "scare" these people before they go spend their money supporting the industry. Yeah ... that's real sustainable. I get it that those who "market" scuba want to get them in, and get their money before they drop out and go find something more comfortable to do with their recreational dollars. But that approach doesn't work well where I live and teach. There's memorials on way too many dive sites here ... mostly for fairly inexperienced people who died out of ignorance, or because their instructor de-emphasized the risks in order to not scare them away. And that's the problem ... if you don't emphasize the risks, there will always be those who think they're not important. That's why you see so many divers not even bothering to follow things they do cover in their basic training ... like buddy checks ... because they had instructors or dive buddies who downplayed the risks, citing the high percentage of divers who "don't die" every year.
Yeah, the reality is that we can die in other, more commonplace ways. But the question is why do things that increase the probability of it? Why engage in risky behavior ... either because you don't know any better, or because you don't believe that the risks really apply to you? That's the attitude that gets engendered by those who believe we shouldn't talk about it.
Stick your head in the sand, if that's what makes you happy. Pretend that the risks aren't real, or that the statistics don't bear out that emphasizing them aren't worthwhile. But people aren't statistics ... every single one of them matters. And I won't be a part of that approach to marketing the scuba industry ... not only because of the safety aspects, but because I believe it's ultimately creating more drop-outs than talking about the risks will. The only difference is that before they drop out, they'll get certified. They may even take another con-ed class or two, because that's why instructors are taught to upsell those classes before the current one is even completed. Maybe they'll go on a trip or two. But sooner or later, they'll do something that'll scare the crap out of them, because they were taught to put themselves into that position by someone who believes as you do that talking about the risks of scuba is bad for business. And that will be the last time they dive, whether they survive the experience or not.
That's not my idea of a good time ... and having a good time, ultimately, is why we all dive. I want my students going into it with their eyes open. I want those who will be inclined to drop out to do so
before they invest thousands in scuba classes and equipment ... because selling scuba gear and certifications is not my priority, keeping my students alive and having fun is. And don't mistake what I'm saying here ... it CAN be engaged in with a reasonable degree of safety. But you must know the risks, and how to prepare for them, before you can really do that. And that means having a frank discussion about what those risks are, how to avoid them, and what to do if you can't avoid them.
I have never said that "only I can do this well". There are thousands of highly qualified instructors out there ... I know several personally just in my area. Many of them are engaging in this conversation, and trying to present the same perspective I am ... but you're blowing them and me off because you don't agree with what we're saying.
The incident I described yesterday is, sadly, not the "worst case". But it is a good example of a dive professional who is ... whether he means to or not ... teaching his students to dive dangerously, to not consider or prepare for an acceptable level of risks. He will ... I don't doubt ... be very successful at selling them the next class, and probably thousands of dollars in equipment purchases. And the industry will view him as being a successful dive professional. But over the course of the next few years, the chances of his former students dropping out or finding themselves the victims of a diving accident will be, statistically, much higher than mine ... or any number of those professionals who train their students how to avoid the risks, rather than engage in them. A couple years ago I went through my student folders from the past decade or so ... and I can account for about 80% of my students still being active divers. What do you suppose the typical drop-out rate is in our industry? How would you account for the difference? Who do you suppose is really representing the interests of the industry better ... the instructor who churns out a high number of certs, or the one who is more selective but manages to help train students who will be comfortable enough with the activity to keep doing it for years to come?
I think those of you who say "don't talk about it" are kidding yourselves ...
... Bob (Grateful Diver)
---------- Post added December 8th, 2015 at 09:02 AM ----------
Anyway, I've been in caves hundreds of times, if by caves you mean those holes in the rocks in Hawaii, and if by "in" you mean within free-swimming distance of the mouth, but I know you do because we're told that emphatically (see #137 above, or any of hundreds of other posts throughout this thread and the archives). And the point as well is, this is the way every topic of risk is handled here (by many). Do you find that approach helpful? insulting? patronizing? Do you accept that you are not worthy of better, because your life is at stake and soto concede any capability on your part to handle nuance would be a dis-service to the role of protector/policer?
I'm only OW certified, well Rescue recently also, and not knowing what I don't know, I'm either the luckiest man in the world, or the most preternaturally insightful, or perhaps simply a well-trained cave-certified diver reincarnated. Or there's more nuance to it than that. But maybe like the AGW warrior-scientists said, lying to us is a small price to pay for saving the world.
Sounds like the argument you get from smokers ... "I've been smoking my entire life, and I'm fine. So clearly they're lying to us when they tell us that smoking is bad for your health."
Tough to argue against "logic" like that ... why bother trying?
... Bob (Grateful Diver)