Ok, here's my analysis:
My answer is that the diver who has undergone 5 minutes of deco is in more
danger.
The reason is that the diver who has undergone only 5 minutes of deco
almost certanly has his "leading" compartment as the fastest (one or
two, excluding his blood) compartments in the body - which are unfortunately compartments that can really f#$@ you - the "fast" compartments include the tissues that produce neurological bends, as "faster" tissues are (generally) those that are best-perfused - neurologically-related organs, of course, are among the best-perfused organs of all. (Actually, blood is probably the "fastest" tissue, and bubbling on the
arterial side of the circulation will severely hose you.)
The diver with 100% loading in his leading compartment after 30 minutes of
deco PROBABLY has a "slower" leading compartment - he has LESS overpressure in the "fast" compartments, because slower compatments tend to control the shallower stops, and you've specified that the diver has already done 30 minutes of stops - which would be the deeper ones. If you were to look at that diver's fast compartments, they would be WELL below critical tension.
The slower compartments are less likely to produce a Type II hit.
Therefore, using
only the Haldanean approach, the diver who has done only 5 minutes of deco is more likely to take a Type II hit, while the diver who did 30 minutes of deco is more likely to take a Type I hit.
This is with all other things being equal, which of course they never are, and this also assumes no PFO - if a slow compartment bubbles into the venous circulation it may not produce a hit at all (the lungs are a pretty decent filter, and aleovi can obtain oxygen by direct gas exchange with the air in the lungs), provided there is no shunt.
If there IS a PFO, then slow compartments can easily produce a Type II hit, since bubbling into the venous circulation can cross over - in this case there is may be little or no difference in risk profile.
(BTW, the true "answer" for the diver who had 5 minutes of required deco is to do
another 5 minutes, so as to allow those fast compartments to desaturate - because those are the ones you REALLY don't want to have a problem with.)
So how'd I do, teach?