Did I miss something from the OP that indicated the weights they normally use with an AL80? How can you make the assertion that the OP will be overweight without knowing more about a "normal" rig for them?
As for buoyancy characteristics, Walter mentioned that an AL80 is approximately +2 when empty, but you say +4 and a steel 80 is approximately -6 full and neutral when empty while you say it's -7 or -8 (I'm assuming full.) Is that depending upon manufacturer or are you folks just throwing out numbers based on rough estimates and personal experience? IE is there really that much difference between one steel 80 and another or one AL80 and another?
He didn't mention anything about carrying weight so I figured he didn't since he's diving warm water with minimal protection (3 mil) with a SS back plate.
I use my Transpac for warm water diving in south florida with both steel 80's and AL80's. In my 3 mil wetsuit I carry no weight with my steel tank and 4 lbs if I'm using an aluminum tank, and keep in mind my transpac is slightly positive to begin with.
The numbers I use are from a scuba cylinder specification chart (link below) that's accurate in my experiences. On the chart a standard Luxfer AL80 is -1.4 lbs full and +4.4 empty.
As for steel the exact numbers are:
PST (E7)HP80: -8.5 full, -2.5 empty (My cylinder of choice for it's compactness)
PST HP80: -9 full, -3.3 empty
PST LP80: -7 full, -1 empty
Faber 80: -7.55 full, -1.7 empty
Specification Chart
With the rest of his configuration and exposure protection remaining constant simple math can be done to see how a change in tanks will affect his buoyancy at the beginning of the dive.
Current set up with no weight
SS backplate: -6 lbs
AL80: -1.4 lbs (full)
Total: -7.4 lbs
New set up with smallest practical steel tank
SS backplate: -6 lbs
Steel (80 or 72): -8 lbs (full)
Total: -14 lbs