As others have said, the issue is more the wind than the water temperature. I have only dived the Red Sea once, in the month of January, and I brought a drysuit because having done similar research as you are doing, all this talk about the possibility of a steady wind had frightened me. All I can say is that while the other divers were shivering when we got off the RIB back at the mothership, I was happy to grab a cold drink. My wife and I were the only ones diving in drysuits--everyone else seemed to have what looked like 5 mm, often in combination with a vest.