I predict the status quo will prevail and secure their beach access or the proposal will be voted down. I hope the scuba reps include the non-boat single-person business as well as the armada dive operators...those big operators are only going to look after their own interests IMHO...
The current County Administration has been taking some very restrictive moves with respect to resident quality of life vs vacation industry over-encroachment. The popular Beach Parks
are overcrowded on weekends and Holidays, when weather is nice. This is also the International Year of the Reef. There have been many recent studies published along with legislation both passed and proposed calling for an immediate reduction in negative impact on the marine ecosystem.
I am of the opinion that in the long run the County of Maui is serious about reducing the number of permits to at least the numbers in the First Draft Proposal. The current proposal is their low starting point in the horse trading of compromise. Due to the way the grandfather clause works, if implemented peak usage at Ulua and Makena Landing would invariably increase, and permits may actually be available for the least attractive Beach Parks.
The grandfather clause allows permit holders to turn in each current permit for a new one beach permit. They may chose any of the beaches on their existing permit, and evidently any one activity from said existing permits. Although the Panel of Deciders seemed to be surprised, some permit holders have one permit for up to 10 Beach Parks and 3 or 4 activities. At least one has Kayak Scuba listed as an activity. Seems permits with 3 beaches and 1 activity was all the Panel thought existed
The big operators would be the hardest hit with the Proposed Rules, and many of them own/operate boats, as well as other boat owning permit holders who will be affected. It does not appear that there is a money trail like Thal implied. I have seen the rich seclusionists and the conservationists work together on stifling tourism/economic progress before, whether the conservationists know it or not.
The intent of the non-transferable nature of the permits is so attrition will eventually reduce permit numbers to the proposed numbers. Ulua could have 20 outfits legally working out of it at the same time all the time for the next few years (until they quit or die), if the current rules were implemented. Up to a certain point, current permit holders in South Maui were probably wondering "Ulua or Makena Landing, which should I keep?"
That hints at a new bombshell from the meeting. The Director of Maui DLNR indicated Makena Landing wasn't available for commercial operation; in the past, currently or going forward. This was another of the times when the Panel of Deciders evidently had no clue until the words were coming out of the speakers mouth. As Public Open Space, it is available for one Concession (like the Big Beach parking lot hot dog truck) under an auction for lease procurement process that sounds very involved. One operator might eventually be legal to conduct business in Makena Landing, and the County has no power to authorize commercial activities there.
With the DLNR bomb, which affects other parks and other activities, it seems likely that nothing will come of this for some time; train wrecks like this take a while to clean up. Seems they only gave the proposals to DLNR on Monday or something like that, and the word we were given tonight seemed fast and firm from the Honolulu DLNR. With a very possible new Administration looming on the horizon big change might not happen, but you never know what will happen if the Country catches Barak's change bandwagon.