Your information is NOT correct. Let me see if I can clarify the timeline for you. (And the caveat to add is that I am in no way saying it was OK for them have missed her on the roll call. By the same token, the boat left based on the DM reporting everyone back so it's not like they left knowing a diver was unaccounted for.) What follows is my understanding of the times.
They left Ship around 11:15AM. The site they went to was Yellowtail Point, about 3 miles and 10 minutes away. It was at that time they realized Laurel had not been accounted for and was not on board. (add in another 5 minutes to re-roll call.) Then then headed back to Ship Rock, so another 10 minutes, 25 minutes total. They searched the surface around Ship (which as you know is a very small area but another few minutes) and then they put divers in the water to look. Shortly after that (I don't know if it was 2 minutes or 10 minutes), they put out the radio call of a missing diver.
I think where you're getting confused is looking at that time, which was probably 11:45-Noon, and the time Laurel is reported to have gone in the water, 9:55AM, and coming up with 2 hours. Yes, that's a 2-hour time period from initial splash but that's NOT two hours that they thought she was missing and did nothing.
There also seems to be, I think, a misconception that Laurel could have surfaced during the time the boat was absent from Ship and had the boat been there, all would have been well. I don't think that works out time-wise and here's why. (And again, the caveat is that this is my understanding from the information I have at hand.)
I'm told Laurel submerged around 9:55AM. (Some have said she went down as early as 9:35 but you can use either time. She also dove solo which I personally feel was her choice so it's not something I would criticize her for doing or the boat for allowing. Diving solo, as many of you know, is extremely common in SoCal.) My understanding of her plan was that she was going to go down to about 80 feet or so, and do some stretches for a few minutes that helped relieve some of her chronic pain. Then she was going to hunt for lobster. I believe she was diving an HP 72cf tank but the key factor here is not the pressure but the volume of 72cf.
Let's look at deco time limitations. At 80 feet, deco tables give you about 35 minutes. If you go down to 100 feet you're in the 20-minute range. If you come up to 60 feet, you've probably got 50-55 minutes. So the point is that if you are diving at these depths, you're probably going to run out of no-deco time (assuming a multi-level dive) in 60 minutes or less. That would have meant, from a no-deco standpoint, she should have surfaced shortly before 11AM at the latest.
Let's look at air consumption limitations. Although I knew Laurel (she was on our Chamber Day Committee last year and this), I never dove with her. So I'm just going to use some general numbers.
An average diver in SoCal (cold-ish) waters has an average surface air consumption rate of 0.75cfm (cubic feet per minute). That number's based on some studies I've done over the years. A good diver who's not working hard might get that number down to 0.50cfm. For the sake of argument, let's use that lower figure.
At 66 feet (3atm), your effective rate would then be 1.5cfm. At 99 feet (4atm), your rate would be 2.0cfm. Let's split the difference and say then that the average rate for this dive at depth would have been 1.75cfm.
If you want to have 500psi left left in an HP 72cf tank which fills to 3500psi, that's 14% of your pressure left in reserve, so you can use 86% of the tank's volume of gas on your dive. 86% of 72cf is 62cf. Diving that by the presumed usage rate (1.75cfm) you come up with a dive time of 35 minutes (to be at 500psi). Even if you kept breathing on the tank and sucked it dry, you'd only extend that to 41 minutes.
So from an air consumption standpoint, and using 9:55AM as a start time, Laurel should have surfaced somewhere between 10:30 and 10:35. The boat was still at Ship Rock at that time.
From a no-deco standpoint, she could have stayed for maybe 60 minutes (and that would have far exceeded what I'm calculating her available air time at). That would have brought her up at 10:55. The boat was still at Ship Rock at that time.
So no matter how you cut this, from the information I have, if Laurel completed her dive normally, she would have surfaced while the boat was still at Ship Rock. If she had some sort of a problem - whether that was medical, mechanical, or animal - it would have happened even sooner in the dive while the boat was still at Ship Rock. The boat left 15-20 after what I'm calculating as the latest she should have surfaced so the boat's departure, I believe, didn't factor in to this and is a red herring.
Again, while I am in no way excusing anyone involved for not accounting for all divers to be on board and then leaving based on an incomplete roll call, to think that the roll call and the boat moving had anything do with this tragedy simply doesn't add up. Laurel should have surfaced under every scenario before the boat left and the fact is that no one reports seeing or hearing her during that time period. This all leads me to believe that she never made it back to the surface.
- Ken