Dan Orr recently gave a talk about "Bad things happening to Good Divers" at the History of Diving Museum in Islamorada Fl. Re referenced this study and drew a number of conclusions about how we dive and how to keep living.
This reminded me of a study done by the Insurance Peeps on the effectiveness of ABS (Anti-Lock Brakes) a couple of years after they first came out. After all, they offered a discount if your car had them. What they found out was short of remarkable: there was little discernible difference in the number and severity of accidents. It was further determined that the weak link in the whole system was the loose nut behind the wheel.
ABS brakes are just as ineffective as non ABS brakes if you aren't paying attention: they rely on the driver depressing the pedal. Not to fear though, continued advances in ABS and Traction Control have resulted in making cars a tad bit safer for those paying attention. They still don't help intexticated drivers or those fiddling with their stereos from rear ending you.
Traditional dive instruction has focused on developing a mastery of discrete skills. They make sure that you can clear your mask when the instructor asks you to while firmly kneeling on the bottom. Shenanigans! Unfortunately, they miss the mark in developing core competency as a diver, where the individual knows not only how to DO the skill, but also when to do the skill and how to accomplish it mid water.
Back to the study and Dan Orr's presentation. It was good to see that overall, diver deaths are down. Is this because there are fewer divers? Dan didn't think so.
It was also interesting to hear about another study they did. They did an actual count of dives done on several live aboards as well as those done by a number of dive ops as well as monitoring some areas known for shore dives. The incidence for Live aboards was less than 1 in 10,000 dives. The incidence for charters was 2.5 in 10,000 dives and the incidence for shore divers was over 3 in 10,000 dives. These were ALL injuries (not just deaths) and this indicates that the incidence rate noted by the previous study may be WAY off. That being said, my MEMORY of the exact numbers could be off a bit as well.
Still, the highly regimented dives where the op had the most control resulted in very, very few injuries. Decrease the supervision level and the incident level starts to climb. I don't see this as a call to mandate DMs though as the incidence rates were still very small.