Yeah, but the actual number is probably more like one case per several thousand recreational dives, or less.
DAN report 2016 estimated 3 million dives conducted in the USA per annum.
Statistically, that'd result in a lot of bent divers per annum.
On a per person, bends per dives, perspective, statistics don't really enlighten. That's because people have varying susceptibility to DCS.
Also, people conduct varying extremes of dives, with varying degrees of qualification and experience. In short, some people dive conservatively, while others dive aggressively... relative to their experience, equipment and training.
That IS relevant to this thread.
Pushing 'deeper into the grey' or doing dives with mandatory stops has an obvious impact on DCS risk...and that should correlate to a much higher prevalence of DCS incidents.
I've not yet seen any statistics that breakdown DCS incidents based on dive qualification and experience versus relative 'aggressiveness' of diving (depth, time and relative saturation as indicated by proximity to a given no-stop limit).
I wonder if/how studies like DAN's determine a recreational or technical dive. Would a dive be considered 'technical' in their statistics if it merely exceeded no-stop limits?
Depending on definitions, you might find that there were much higher statistical risks in 'recreational' decompression diving, that aren't apparent because they get bundled into 'technical diving' figures.
As example, statistics might indicate X fatalities on "cave dives", but don't differentiate between qualified cave divers and untrained divers who enter caves and perish.
Either way, risk statistics applicable to no-stop recreational diving shouldn't be used to vindicate exceeding no-stop limits.
No-stop limits exist to insulate divers against the risk of DCS and the severity of DCS when it does present itself.
Exceeding those limits should mean you lose that 'insulation' and have ventured beyond statistical safety boundaries associated with 'recreational' diving (as its commonly, or agency, defined).