Keep eye on NHC, possible storms about a week out

[GameChanger]

If you didn't pay attention to the weather reports, you'd never know there is any sort of weather alert in Coz today. It's a nice day!

 

[GameChanger]

Looks like a normal track. AA 1256 crosses into the GOM in southern LA and into the Yucatan just west of Holbox

View attachment 606647

My son is on the return flight to DFW today. He's at the airport right now and it is on-time. (so far).

 

[gopbroek]

Only time will tell if this really had any effect but one theory out there is that Laura and Marcos may be influencing each other
"
Jack Sillin, a weather forecaster who writes for weather.us, said the paths of the two storms raises the possibility of a “binary interaction” known as the Fujiwhara Effect, named after the Japanese meteorologist Sakuhei Fujiwhara who discovered the phenomenon.

Sillin hypothesized on Saturday that TD 14 (Marco) would likely be slowed and possibly pulled east by TD 13 (Laura), and TD 13 in turn would be accelerated and possibly tugged a little farther west by TD 14."

 

[cozcharlie]

Interesting time lapse of the the forecast track/CONE (and how it missed us). You can see a couple of sideways jumps in the center to the east/north last night and this morning. Not certain that this was a "wobble" in the traditional sense of hurricane tracks where the eye will sometimes shift around a little along the general direction of movement. This may have been more of a change in the center of circulation from one part of the disturbance to another part since NHC always had issues pinning down an exact center since there seemed to be multiple separate areas of convection within the broader disturbance.

Can see a little rain over on mainland now, but haven't had a drop at my place in Cozumel

EDIT: Wasn't trying to dismiss Fujiwhara effect in post above. That could be in play, don't know

[MARCO Graphics Archive: <br> 3-day Forecast Track and Watch/Warning Graphic]

 

[ggunn]

If you didn't pay attention to the weather reports, you'd never know there is any sort of weather alert in Coz today. It's a nice day!

Cozumel is on the "clean" side of the storm. Now that the center of the storm is to the east and north you guys there should get some cooler temps and lower humidity for a day or two.

 

[ggunn]

Only time will tell if this really had any effect but one theory out there is that Laura and Marcos may be influencing each other
"
Jack Sillin, a weather forecaster who writes for weather.us, said the paths of the two storms raises the possibility of a “binary interaction” known as the Fujiwhara Effect, named after the Japanese meteorologist Sakuhei Fujiwhara who discovered the phenomenon.

Sillin hypothesized on Saturday that TD 14 (Marco) would likely be slowed and possibly pulled east by TD 13 (Laura), and TD 13 in turn would be accelerated and possibly tugged a little farther west by TD 14."

One thing for certain is that the NHC predictions for Marco are fluctuating a lot more than they usually do. The 10AM advisory predicted that Marco would have landfall on the Texas coast west of Galveston and Laura would hit the Louisiana coast south of Lafayette. The 2PM advisory has Marco hitting New Orleans but Laura pretty much unchanged.

 

[gopbroek]

Continuing to slide (being pulled?) east. Now project to reach minimal hurricane tonight and the track is taking aim at New Orleans. 15 years ago this week was Katrina. No wobbles but a steady drift east this one acts strange

 

[gopbroek]

Hope the port is open, talk about a beautiful sunset (Fiesta Americana web cam)

 

[ChuckP]

Cozumel is on the "clean" side of the storm. Now that the center of the storm is to the east and north you guys there should get some cooler temps and lower humidity for a day or two.

I hope, at this moment I think you could swim across the back patio - it’s sticky!!

 

[Redfoot]

Smart, you would have had a rough journey today...

A loss of power at Delta earlier today has impacted Delta operations worldwide. As of 1:30 p.m. ET the airline had canceled 450 flights, while nearly 1,700 flights had been dispatched.

Our trip to Turks and Caicos for tomorrow Sunday 8/23 got cancelled- This makes sense, as Laura is 350 miles south, not sure why they outright cancelled the flight.