blueeyes_austin
Contributor
The folks on storm2k had a live chat with scientists on the latest monitoring flight...pressure is down to 901 and dropping....
Katrina
- Thread starter Rick Murchison
- Start date
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blueeyes_austin
Contributor
A MOST POWERFUL HURRICANE WITH UNPRECEDENTED
STRENGTH...RIVALING THE INTENSITY OF HURRICANE CAMILLE OF 1969.
MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS...PERHAPS LONGER. AT
LEAST ONE HALF OF WELL CONSTRUCTED HOMES WILL HAVE ROOF AND WALL
FAILURE. ALL GABLED ROOFS WILL FAIL...LEAVING THOSE HOMES SEVERELY
DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
THE MAJORITY OF INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS WILL BECOME NON FUNCTIONAL.
PARTIAL TO COMPLETE WALL AND ROOF FAILURE IS EXPECTED. ALL WOOD
FRAMED LOW RISING APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL BE DESTROYED. CONCRETE
BLOCK LOW RISE APARTMENTS WILL SUSTAIN MAJOR DAMAGE...INCLUDING SOME
WALL AND ROOF FAILURE.
HIGH RISE OFFICE AND APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL SWAY DANGEROUSLY...A
FEW TO THE POINT OF TOTAL COLLAPSE. ALL WINDOWS WILL BLOW OUT.
AIRBORNE DEBRIS WILL BE WIDESPREAD...AND MAY INCLUDE HEAVY ITEMS SUCH
AS HOUSEHOLD APPLIANCES AND EVEN LIGHT VEHICLES. SPORT UTILITY
VEHICLES AND LIGHT TRUCKS WILL BE MOVED. THE BLOWN DEBRIS WILL CREATE
ADDITIONAL DESTRUCTION. PERSONS...PETS...AND LIVESTOCK EXPOSED TO THE
WINDS WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH IF STRUCK.
POWER OUTAGES WILL LAST FOR WEEKS...AS MOST POWER POLES WILL BE DOWN
AND TRANSFORMERS DESTROYED. WATER SHORTAGES WILL MAKE HUMAN SUFFERING
INCREDIBLE BY MODERN STANDARDS.
THE VAST MAJORITY OF NATIVE TREES WILL BE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. ONLY
THE HEARTIEST WILL REMAIN STANDING...BUT BE TOTALLY DEFOLIATED. FEW
CROPS WILL REMAIN. LIVESTOCK LEFT EXPOSED TO THE WINDS WILL BE
KILLED.
AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
HURRICANE FORCE...OR FREQUENT GUSTS AT OR ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE...ARE
CERTAIN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
ONCE TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ONSET...DO NOT VENTURE
OUTSIDE!
NOAA Link
STRENGTH...RIVALING THE INTENSITY OF HURRICANE CAMILLE OF 1969.
MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS...PERHAPS LONGER. AT
LEAST ONE HALF OF WELL CONSTRUCTED HOMES WILL HAVE ROOF AND WALL
FAILURE. ALL GABLED ROOFS WILL FAIL...LEAVING THOSE HOMES SEVERELY
DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
THE MAJORITY OF INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS WILL BECOME NON FUNCTIONAL.
PARTIAL TO COMPLETE WALL AND ROOF FAILURE IS EXPECTED. ALL WOOD
FRAMED LOW RISING APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL BE DESTROYED. CONCRETE
BLOCK LOW RISE APARTMENTS WILL SUSTAIN MAJOR DAMAGE...INCLUDING SOME
WALL AND ROOF FAILURE.
HIGH RISE OFFICE AND APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL SWAY DANGEROUSLY...A
FEW TO THE POINT OF TOTAL COLLAPSE. ALL WINDOWS WILL BLOW OUT.
AIRBORNE DEBRIS WILL BE WIDESPREAD...AND MAY INCLUDE HEAVY ITEMS SUCH
AS HOUSEHOLD APPLIANCES AND EVEN LIGHT VEHICLES. SPORT UTILITY
VEHICLES AND LIGHT TRUCKS WILL BE MOVED. THE BLOWN DEBRIS WILL CREATE
ADDITIONAL DESTRUCTION. PERSONS...PETS...AND LIVESTOCK EXPOSED TO THE
WINDS WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH IF STRUCK.
POWER OUTAGES WILL LAST FOR WEEKS...AS MOST POWER POLES WILL BE DOWN
AND TRANSFORMERS DESTROYED. WATER SHORTAGES WILL MAKE HUMAN SUFFERING
INCREDIBLE BY MODERN STANDARDS.
THE VAST MAJORITY OF NATIVE TREES WILL BE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. ONLY
THE HEARTIEST WILL REMAIN STANDING...BUT BE TOTALLY DEFOLIATED. FEW
CROPS WILL REMAIN. LIVESTOCK LEFT EXPOSED TO THE WINDS WILL BE
KILLED.
AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
HURRICANE FORCE...OR FREQUENT GUSTS AT OR ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE...ARE
CERTAIN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
ONCE TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ONSET...DO NOT VENTURE
OUTSIDE!
NOAA Link
gfisher4792
Guest
blueeyes_austin:
Scariest warning I have ever seen. Good luck to all!
Natasha
Contributor
Just got back from the Caribbean today. Katrina missed us. I'll be praying for everyone else this week.
H2Andy
Contributor
yeah, this doesn't look good. my sister evacuated New Orleans yesterday, she
drove up and west to Arkansas, to get out of the NE quadrant
she's very bummed out at what she will find when she returns
looks like most of New Orleans is going to get wasted
drove up and west to Arkansas, to get out of the NE quadrant
she's very bummed out at what she will find when she returns
looks like most of New Orleans is going to get wasted
paulpizmo
Registered
It's going to be bad.......We have several members from our area teams enroute there from the west coast as advanced IST for FEMA. They already have about 6 USAR (Urban Search and Rescue Teams) and 18 DMAT (Disaster Medical Assistance Teams) pre positioned in the area just outside the impact areas. I bet in 36 hours the double or triple that number. But the flooding and damage will hit way far north with flooding and other damage.
Like everyone is saying right now be prepard to be on your own for at least a week if not longer. Keep a lot of water on hand 2 - 3 gallons per person per day.
Also it may be nice for the diving community to lend a hand to others as we can after this thing hits and the needs accessments are made.
Gods speed, I'm praying for you.
Like everyone is saying right now be prepard to be on your own for at least a week if not longer. Keep a lot of water on hand 2 - 3 gallons per person per day.
Also it may be nice for the diving community to lend a hand to others as we can after this thing hits and the needs accessments are made.
Gods speed, I'm praying for you.
All of my family is out of harms way thankfully.
Hoping for the best, expecting the worst.
At least my daughter got to see the aquarium. It's right on the river, so I doubt it will survive.
TwoBit
Hoping for the best, expecting the worst.
At least my daughter got to see the aquarium. It's right on the river, so I doubt it will survive.
TwoBit
The Most Intense Hurricanes in the United States 1851-2004
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The following table is derived from NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TPC-1:
THE DEADLIEST, COSTLIEST, AND MOST INTENSE
UNITED STATES TROPICAL CYCLONES FROM 1851 TO 2004
(AND OTHER FREQUENTLY REQUESTED HURRICANE FACTS)
by
Eric S. Blake, Jerry D. Jarrell(retired), Max Mayfield, and Edward N. Rappaport
NOAA/NWS/ Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center
Miami, Florida
Christopher W. Landsea
NOAA/AOML/Hurricane Research Division
Miami, Florida
Table 4: The most intense mainland United States hurricanes, 1851-2004 (includes only major hurricanes at their most intense landfall). Addendum for Hawaii, Puerto Rico, and U.S. Virgin Islands.
Rank Hurricane Year Category (at landfall) Minimum Pressure (mb) Minimum Pressure(in)
1 Unnamed (FL Keys) 1935 5 892 26.35
2 Camille (MS, SE LA, VA) 1969 5 909 26.84
3 Andrew (SE FL, SE LA) 1992 5 922 27.23
4 TX (Indianola) 1886 4 925 27.31
5 Unnamed (FL Keys, S TX) 1919 4 927 27.37
6 Unnamed (Lake Okeechobee FL) 1928 4 929 27.43
7 Donna (FL, Eastern U.S.) 1960 4 930 27.46
8 Unnamed (New Orleans LA) 1915 4 931 27.49
8 Carla (N & Cent. TX) 1961 4 931 27.49
10 LA (Last Island) 1856 4 934 27.58
10 Hugo (SC) 1989 4 934 27.58
A new number 2???
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The following table is derived from NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TPC-1:
THE DEADLIEST, COSTLIEST, AND MOST INTENSE
UNITED STATES TROPICAL CYCLONES FROM 1851 TO 2004
(AND OTHER FREQUENTLY REQUESTED HURRICANE FACTS)
by
Eric S. Blake, Jerry D. Jarrell(retired), Max Mayfield, and Edward N. Rappaport
NOAA/NWS/ Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center
Miami, Florida
Christopher W. Landsea
NOAA/AOML/Hurricane Research Division
Miami, Florida
Table 4: The most intense mainland United States hurricanes, 1851-2004 (includes only major hurricanes at their most intense landfall). Addendum for Hawaii, Puerto Rico, and U.S. Virgin Islands.
Rank Hurricane Year Category (at landfall) Minimum Pressure (mb) Minimum Pressure(in)
1 Unnamed (FL Keys) 1935 5 892 26.35
2 Camille (MS, SE LA, VA) 1969 5 909 26.84
3 Andrew (SE FL, SE LA) 1992 5 922 27.23
4 TX (Indianola) 1886 4 925 27.31
5 Unnamed (FL Keys, S TX) 1919 4 927 27.37
6 Unnamed (Lake Okeechobee FL) 1928 4 929 27.43
7 Donna (FL, Eastern U.S.) 1960 4 930 27.46
8 Unnamed (New Orleans LA) 1915 4 931 27.49
8 Carla (N & Cent. TX) 1961 4 931 27.49
10 LA (Last Island) 1856 4 934 27.58
10 Hugo (SC) 1989 4 934 27.58
A new number 2???
lamont
Contributor
graphic of oil production in the gulf:
http://magma.nationalgeographic.com/ngm/0406/feature5/images/mp_download.5.pdf
in addition predicted tracks show Port Fourchon at risk.
more info on the oil risk:
http://www.theoildrum.com/story/2005/8/26/22637/7757
http://magma.nationalgeographic.com/ngm/0406/feature5/images/mp_download.5.pdf
in addition predicted tracks show Port Fourchon at risk.
more info on the oil risk:
http://www.theoildrum.com/story/2005/8/26/22637/7757
Our prayers are with all in Katrina's path. May you all get out or be safe.
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