There are going to be a few factors that will influence the lift you need for your wing.
Your height and weight, the areas where you dive, (cold water or tropical ) hence your exposure suit thickness, how much additional weight you need, max depth of dive, and if the weight is integrated into your harness (if so you should have enough lift to float your rig on the surface).
If you're optimally weighted, you should be able to hold a safety stop at 5 m with 50 BAR left in your tank and your wing is empty or barely filled with any gas. (sorry I don't do psi and imperial).
So with all of the above in mind, I suggest you get fully kitted up and do what would be a typical dive for you in your environment. When you reach your safety stop hang for a few minutes and for this exercise have 30-50 bar left in your cylinder. Empty your wing completely and see... do you float up or sink? Ideally you should be neutrally buoyant. Once you've dialed that in you will be able to know how much weight you really need... and at your maximum depth, your wing should then compensate for any exposure suit compression. In addition as mention before, the wing should be able to float your entire rig on the surface.
Generally if you're weighted properly, you will probably find 30lbs of lift to be sufficient, however, I will say that the difference between a 30lbs wing and a 40lbs wing in terns of actual size and how much additional drag is added with the larger wing is quite minimal - especially with today's designs like Oxycheq, Halcyon, etc.. they make nicely streamlined smaller overall designs that do not induce too much drag.