I think that's the current state - COVID is being treated as the acute, highly infective, potentially nasty illness that it is, which is why return-to-diving recommendations were drafted specifically for post-COVID. Future state is difficult if not impossible to predict but may be as @kinoons described.It is a great question but perhaps we get a baseline with Covid results and then extend to other respiratory illnesses. Covid has wrecked havoc, claimed many lives and many are still suffering with symptoms.
Since starting this thread, I unfortunately got Covid and whilst quite mild did knock me out for a couple of weeks. 5 or 6 weeks after the infection, I attempted a 100 km bike ride with lots of climbing.
During the course of the ride my heart rate was on average about 20 bpm higher than similar pre covid ride and I had 90 minutes at a threshold level and 49 minutes at anerobic levels with my heart rate topping out at a level I had not seen since I was in my 30's and my average speed was down by about 20%. So Covid has had an affect on my general fitness and thus I think it is right be concerned about fitness levels post covid when diving.
Luckily my fitness is returning quite quickly and whilst I have lost some speed my HR is back inline with pre covid levels
Glad your recovery is going well!
Best regards,
DDM