15 yrs ago you would be right, but not today. Just like Nitrox, modern ECCRs (Prism 2, Optima, Revo III ) are far more safe and redundant then units even a few years ago and are to the point that once price comes down I would imagine that the days of OC tech diving being the norm will be numbered. Are they to the point that a diver can bypass OC and do open water certs strictly on CCR? No, but if the industry keeps pushing it as they are currently doing we are probably only 1-2 generations off before a ECCR/ESCR gets approved for open water certification
Nothing has really changed despite the units being better, more advanced/sophisticated and cheaper.
Fatalities hit both novice and expert and the probability is independent one dive from the next.
To translate, training does not seem to reduce the likelihood of a fatality nor does experience.
Equipment improvement and automation does not seem to do the trick.
Now same as back then you start diving rebreather thinking "this is not going to happen to me." Then, as time goes by and it hits a few of your friends/acquaintances you start thinking "if I am not careful, this is going to happen to me." Then, you come to the reality that "if I don't stop doing this, it is going to happen to me."
Nothing has changed, despite notable improvements in equipment and electronics over the years.
It seems like the probability of a fatality on rebreather is a constant and independent from one dive to another and independent from training and experience and social background and education...
It is a very democratic tool.
Whether human error precedes machine failure, or machine failure precedes human error, the outcome is the same - so it matters little which came first in terms of outcome.
Nitrox is a fixed FO2. Rebreather is not.