2th was right.
Went Sat and Sunday morning to Venice, Alahambra, Brohard, all the way down to Casperson (I was desperate).
At high/slack tide breakers were 3' on the beach with SSE winds at 15-20 knots.
Water looked like milk.
No divers, no dive boats, no diving this weekend.
I stopped and talked to Steve Thacker who had cancelled both Sat and Sun dives.
Note to self: don't just check tides, vis history, and wind direction; check wind SPEED. Drove 2 1/2 hours from Orlando with a non-refundable motel reservation. Hung out at the beach and drove back with a dry wetsuit