Speaking as a BVI attorney, just wanted to clear a few things up here:-
- There is in fact a presumption of innocence under BVI law (and a right to remain silent, and a right to trial by jury).
- In BVI you are entitled to have a lawyer appointed by the Government and paid for by the legal aid scheme if you cannot afford one for yourself. As far as I know Swain did not avail himself of this but paid for an attorney of his own choosing.
- BVI is not in Europe. It is in the Caribbean.
- I am not sure what the percentage of convictions overturned on appeal, but I suspect it is a good deal less than 90%. However, there are a lot of successful appeals for two reasons. Firstly, BVI juries by and large have a very pro-conviction mentality, whereas the appeal judges tend to take a softer line. Secondly, the final level of appeal is the Privy Council in London, and generally speaking British judges tend to be slightly skeptical of Caribbean justice, and so tend to err on the side of freeing defendants unless the trial was run absolutely by the book.
It wouldn't shock me at all if Swain was freed on appeal. The evidence was heavily circumstantial and the facts occurred long ago, so I suspect the appellate judges will scrutinise every facet of the case very closely indeed.
Just my 2 psi.