Until there is effective quality control, I do not see an end. It may change when having good instructors is more profitable than having more instructors.... Not holding my breath.
I'd anticipate that the system could be completely turned around in ~2 years.
Change (
quality management) need only be introduced at the level of Instructor Examination (IE). A half-day addition to assess fundamental-type diving skill competency. Similar to a '
lite' GUE Fundies format assessment.
Stringent, continual and consistent quality management of large and dispersed global populations of instructor trainers and instructors is hard... practically impossible.
However, it is entirely reasonable to expect that an agency can stringently manage quality assurance in a tiny population of Instructor Examiners.
As Instructor Development Courses (IDC) are generally formatted to (only) prepare candidates to pass the IE tests, any Course Director (CD) wishing to maintain a high pass rate would have to substantially raise their game to include preparatory fundamentals training.
Knowing that both the IDC and IE included a fundamentals-type assessment, there'd be an immediate need to supplement DM training to have a preparatory benefit in respect to diving skills quality.
Pretty soon, even 'fast-track' Pro candidates will be devoting dives to fundamental skill practice...rather than just 'stacking up' aimless low-quality dives to meet logged dive prerequisites.
There'd be a tangible pressure to improve performance, and more so for fast-track Pros. Fast-track would be the harder... very skills intensive... option.
I say a 2-year timescale because that's (
I believe?) the approximate average retention for active-status instructors.
2 years is also sufficient timescale to enable existing CDs to raise their game and develop the skills needed to teach/demonstrate refined fundamentals (
many don't have that skillset... which is joke). The same applies to instructors routinely teaching DM courses.
It'd also serve to weed out those CDs who couldn't, or wouldn't, make the quality change.
At present there's no commercial penalty for producing unskilled Pros. The commercial penalty created would be via higher failure rates at IE...and tangible under-performance on the trickle-down preparatory syllabus towards IE.
You might not be able to teach old dogs new tricks... but you can make them irrelevant by exposing an inability to adequately prepare their students.
After 2 years, the majority of current instructors will have become inactive. Most active instructors would have passed through DM and IDC training that was re-shaped by a fundamental skills assessment on the IE.
Once the majority of the DM and instructor cadre understood and possessed higher fundamental competencies, there'd be a profound effect on the standard of every diving course... and a wider impact on the 'culture' of diving training.
As it stands, that mainstream training 'culture' is shaped by a system that heeds no credence to the concept of diving skillfullness and barely acknowledges (
or understands) the importance of progressively refined fundamental skills.
So... an intelligent and uncompromising 1/2 day addition to the IE format...
requiring only an ethical decision by agencies to improve quality... and 2 years later there'd be a profound effect on dive training culture from Pro development down to entry-level training.