A BLOWOUT?

[rddvet]

That is crazy how high that is.

Have you seen the photos of Ginnie when the water is covering or close to covering the bath houses?

 

[Capt Jim Wyatt]

Have you seen the photos of Ginnie when the water is covering or close to covering the bath houses?

Yes, that happened during T.S. Debbie too.

I'm going to Ginnie in the morning. Early.

 

[Manatee Diver]

Have you seen the photos of Ginnie when the water is covering or close to covering the bath houses?

I have but the bridge picture makes it clear the total water level.

 

[Manatee Diver]

It is officially tropical storm Idalia. The official NHC forecast now reflects this morning's models, and this afternoon's models have no major changes. But the rain forecast is out. That is a lot of rain locally and up in Georgia so a blowout seems likely.

 

[Manatee Diver]

Hurricane watches have been issued from Cape San Blas down to Charlotte Harbor. I also saw that the intensity forecast is now showing it will likely be a cat 1 based on current conditions with the possibility of being a cat 2. No idea if they improved their intensity forecasting since last year, it seems to often be an underestimation for storms coming from the Gulf.

 

[Capt Jim Wyatt]

Hurricane watch in the big bend - Cedar Key

 

[Manatee Diver]

NHC's forecast has trended a tad south, but the models are trending together with no major outliers that older models had. Intensity forecast has trended lower with most agreeing on a cat 1, but the discussion emphasizes that intensification to a major hurricane is very possible. Rain forecast doesn't appear to have changed.

 

[tjjohnson36]

Current predictions are calling for it to rapidly intensify to a possible cat 3 before landfall, going to cat 2 prior to landfall. This is due to projected pressure changes taking effect at 30,000 feet tomorrow evening an through Tuesday. They are expecting it to pick up traveling speed as well, so hopefully it will not stall and drop an absorbent amount of rain...

 

[tjjohnson36]

We are also currently testing some different models with this storm. Much shorter 5ime ranges, but supposedly more accurate forecast. We shall see...

 

[Capt Jim Wyatt]

We are also currently testing some different models

Who is "We"?