You can keep breaking it down and down but eventually you just have to draw a personal line between what's likely and what isnt.
OK the situation where say my low pressure hose blows, INSTANTLY later my backup air source LP hose goes. I go to my buddy, his hose has blown and his redundancy has also died all in the same 30 seconds in theory is possible. In reality i suspect its never happened or ever will. Why would you'r redundant air source not work? Wasn't it checked prior to dive? Wasn't it checked again on descent?
don't forget that the first problem you are aborting the dive. You are OOA, buddy is OOA or buddy separated and so on. You arent continuing the dive. Even from depth you're about 4 minutes MAXIMUM to the surface. The chances of 4 or 5 separate problems all occurring within those 4 minutes is absolutely remove.
As for 100% foolproof, CESA certainly isnt. Many people every year get embolism and other injuries from failing to execute a problem ascent.
OK the situation where say my low pressure hose blows, INSTANTLY later my backup air source LP hose goes. I go to my buddy, his hose has blown and his redundancy has also died all in the same 30 seconds in theory is possible. In reality i suspect its never happened or ever will. Why would you'r redundant air source not work? Wasn't it checked prior to dive? Wasn't it checked again on descent?
don't forget that the first problem you are aborting the dive. You are OOA, buddy is OOA or buddy separated and so on. You arent continuing the dive. Even from depth you're about 4 minutes MAXIMUM to the surface. The chances of 4 or 5 separate problems all occurring within those 4 minutes is absolutely remove.
As for 100% foolproof, CESA certainly isnt. Many people every year get embolism and other injuries from failing to execute a problem ascent.