You cannot stack the deck with a series of similar proposals and feel that is a fair outcome to send forward. You need balance so there is a set of real options. If this process were actually based on the best scientific data, I feel pretty comfortable in saying that legitimate proposals taking that into consideration would look much more like External Proposal C than the rest.
Dr Bill,
I ran into you at the ScubaShow and said hi, but let my friend Paul do the talking with you at the MLPA Booth. I don't read this board regularly, but do find it a good resource of information. I was able to research and get good opinions on regulators which helped me decide on which one to get for myself. So I also don't know of your many posts which you refer to in this one. I read your comments here and did pick up some of your opinions on the subject. So here are mine, in relation to those.
Also I figured I should set this apart so it can have a little more notice. I am for reasonable closures. And apparently reasonable is where we differ.
I for the first part will respond to External C and it's proposed closure of Palos Verdes. As Catalina is your favorite dive spot that you honed in on, PV is mine. I just started diving and don't own a boat. I shoredive alot and most of that is in PV. Ext C in the first round closed from just south of Pt Vicente to Redondo Marina. Round 2 was revised slightly to just north of Pt Vicente to Torrance Beach - Basically the same area except now the pier and harbor was taken out. Science guidelines state that public piers and jetties shouldn't be put into to the reserves. So basically the whole west and north side of the coastline would be closed. This would force everyone to the southern side of the coast. This is where Whites Point outfall (also advised to try and avoid these with a half mile buffer)of the LA Sanitation District has its pipes. As you recall in the 70s this is where all the DDT and PCBs were dumped and there is a nice 50-200cm thick sediment layer still there. Also on the idea of coastal access, at least 12 trails that I know of and been down on the north and west of the coast would be closed. Now there are about 4 on the southern side south of Pt. Vicente that I know of, maybe a couple more. But there really isn't good access and you have to hike a lot farther and a lot steeper in some places. I've been a proponent for public coastal access and how it impacts people who like to dive from the shore.
Also there is a safety aspect involved in this. As you know in the afternoon the wind starts to pick up and the waves get bigger. Travelling to catalina, you should be aware of this. So now if people are forced to go south of vicente (besides fishing in an area with a higher level on contamination) they will have to come back against this prevailing wind and sea and it is dangerous in smaller boats. So there will be more rescues in the area.
Another point is that the southern california region has a lot of sandy beaches. Most of the coast as we all know. As you also know most of the fish hang out in the structure of the kelp and rocky shorelines where they can find hiding places. There aren't too many places to hide in a sandy shoreline. So when you factor in that aspect, Ext C was taking just about everything. Did you read the economic impact suggested by the first iteration? AND they don't consider any economic impact beyond the dock. So most of the economic data is from the commercial fishing fleet and people said that they would go out of business and starve with that proposal.
Another point you (drbill) brought up is the decline in fish populations since WWII. Let's think about this. When did new technology like sonar and fish finders come out. Who had the money to buy them first when they were really expensive (the commecial industry). And as usual management and government are behind the technology curve. As the government is now trying to catch up with the Internet and how to deal with this. So there was a heyday in the fishing industry. They also used longlines and gilnets which devestated huge swaths of fishing areas and are now banned. The ocean is starting to recover from that. As many people have mentioned to me, there are many more 50+ lb white sea bass (a commonly targeted gamefish) now than there was even 10 years ago. The program of growing and releasing them seems to be helping as well.
AND now to the point which got me writing this long comment. Wow I didn't realize how long it is(and how long I've taken to write this), and yet I still have so much more to say. So here we go.
About the best scientific data. If you've been to a few MLPA meetings it is now the best public readily available (if you can format it to our liking) scientific data. And the data isn't all the great. It is lacking especially in the area from the shoreline to 30m depths. This is where all of my shorediving is done and most of the fishing as well. Also just about half of the stakeholders in the process asked for more time to let the data catch up and for them to be better informed in making their decisions. They asked for a month and were
denied. This MLPA is a calendar driven process. And if you actually look at the "scientific" data they are using, there are a lot of extrapolations and models which they are relying on. And it's not that great and mostly old outdated data.
If this process was truly scientifically driven, it wouldn't be forced to move forward and they would be able to take their time and do it right. A lot of the "guidelines" were made up magical numbers for the stakeholders to shoot for. Like the preferred size guideline.
Oh and don't forget that when a reserve is in place, they can change the rules whenever they like. They recently revised the rules for the Channel Islands reserves put in place about 5 years ago, and they certainly didn't ease up. They usually don't. It's not out of the realm of possibility for them to forbid surfing and diving as much as not anchoring at all as well.
Anyways, lets have the scientific members tell us how well Ext. A meets the scientific guidelines. I know it won't meet yours. I'm not sure if Ext. C met yours either. And that where most of the coast was proposed. Don't forget that Ext C is not gone forever. The ideas live on. The BRTF made sure of that this last meeting. It was also the one that compromised the least in the changes made from round 1 to round 2. And how "stacking the deck" is people trying to compromise and come up with ideas that are similar are bound to happen. There are only a few places where you can put these reserves, so you need to compromise exactly where. I love the Legitimate proposals wording. As I mentioned before, I'm for the reserves but not the huge ones that destroy an economy and targets mainly fishing.
Time for me to go. I need a drink after all this.
Mike