If someone held a gun to your significant others head and said turn this manifold in the correct direction the first time or I shoot them, and you believed the threat to be significant I'm guessing it's slightly better than a coinflip on average for someone to be able to do it under duress. I've watched well trained shooters and and fighters make simple mistakes when asked to perform skills they've preformed well 1000s of times the first time they are under real stress. Making those mistakes less likely to happen is part of human factors that everyone wants to talk about until it's time to change how things are actually done or it challenges what they currently do.
Let's say you have 30 seconds to solve a problem, you have 1 way that solves the problem 100% correctly in 20 seconds, and one way that solves the problem correctly 70% of the time in 5 seconds, but the other 30% of the time it takes an additional 30 seconds or is never resolved correctly, which is a pretty way of solving that problem.