It could happen.
I just saw some new estimates on total US fatalities, and some have it going as high as 500,000 by the end of February. For those not in the high math group, that is a bit over double were we are now.
I saw another estimate today that said if mask wearing became universal in this country, we could save 130,000 lives. That sure won't happen.
My canceled liveaboard trip for last spring was rescheduled to this spring, since Aggressor refused to give refunds. The couple with whom we are scheduled to go said they don;t think it is going to happen, and I tend to agree. The new numbers in Europe, where they thought they had it licked, are scary. I think we are a couple weeks behind them. I think we are going to be in this mode for quite some time.