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Looks promising - upped 2005 hurricane "prediction"

Discussion in 'Storm Watch' started by simbrooks, Aug 2, 2005.

  1. simbrooks

    simbrooks Snr LayZboy Meteorologist ScubaBoard Supporter

    # of Dives: 100 - 199
    Location: Orlando, Fl
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    It seems that the forecasters who were predicting 12-15 named storms with 7-9 hurricanes are upping their estimates for 2005 to 18-21 storms with 9-11 hurricanes, and the season is really barely started in earnest!
     
  2. Hank49

    Hank49 Solo Diver

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    Interesting. Since Emily passed by north of here the water has cooled quite a bit. In fact it's down right cold without a wetsuit. I was just telling my workers here that we don't need to worry about any more storms this year because Emily "sucked all the fuel" out of the ocean around here. hmmm.
     
  3. ReefGuy

    ReefGuy Instructor, Scuba

    # of Dives: 500 - 999
    Location: Punta Gorda, Fl.
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    Whew, that was a close one.
     
  4. simbrooks

    simbrooks Snr LayZboy Meteorologist ScubaBoard Supporter

    # of Dives: 100 - 199
    Location: Orlando, Fl
    7,352
    13
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    I was checking out the crown weather water temp feed and its showing 30C+ across most of the gulf as of 7/31, so its still warming up, not sure if its "as warm" as usual, but still seems hot to me!

    As for the predictions, one guy seems to think the storms will curl east and up the eastern seaboard - but i wont hold my breath!
     
  5. cmalinowski

    cmalinowski Manta Ray

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    It is probably as warm as normal, but not as warm as it was when emily formed which was above normal.
     
  6. cornfed

    cornfed Mindless lemming

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    I find it interesting that the article quotes a private forcaster who predicts a hurricane will make land fall in New England...
     
  7. Hank49

    Hank49 Solo Diver

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    But seriously, our shrimp pond temps have dropped about 2 degrees C since Emily. A real cold snap came through here for this time of year.
     
  8. MoonWrasse

    MoonWrasse Loggerhead Turtle

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    Wow, that's not normal. Hopefully it would dongrade to a cat 1 or tropical storm by landfall.

    11 hurricanes in one year, hopefully the rest will be minor ones, I can't imagine a strong hurricane is good for the reefs.
     
  9. cmalinowski

    cmalinowski Manta Ray

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    the reefs and the storms have been around for thousands/millions of years. It's us who are killing them.
     
  10. MoonWrasse

    MoonWrasse Loggerhead Turtle

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    Yes, humans account for some percentage of reef damage (via dynamite fishing, effluent, etc).
    Howver mother nature also has a destructive paw. For example the damage to the reefs from last December's tsunami, or El NiƱo effects on reefs such as the Cocos.

    http://www.sidsnet.org/pacific/usp/... stresses to southwest and east Pacific reefs

    Question is, if there is such an augmented hurricane season this year, would we expect damage directly from the hurricanes or indirect from effects such as water temperature shifts.
     

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