K_girl
Contributor
First - I've never said that my suppositions should be "reliable". They are just that - total speculation. Some people have not read far enough back into the thread because I have also made statements like - if the defense is able to show this or that.. and I were on the jury - I would have to change my vote to not guilty, even if, in my heart I thought he was guilty. I am not the media, so this is not "trial by media." This is just a discussion based on - what if this or that reported fact is proven true, what would happen? You have this kind of discussion go on all the time on TV because things like witness statements are leaked by the police - as was Gabe's entire interview. Actually, I think if someone were to get a fair trial, absolutely no information should be leaked or reported by the police. But this is always weighed against the public's right to know. The question is - is it for our entertainment or is it because we really have a right to know? And because the "right to know" has been the paradigm for more than a century - it naturally begets speculation. You cannot stop it. And that has always angered some people to say - you should never, never speculate because you don't have all the information. You should wait for trial. As long as the information is leaked by police and courts, and as long as witnesses speak to reporters - people will speculate and people will form opinions. Even when the trial is over - these people of the same mind will say - you weren't there, you didn't see the evidence, so you have no right to an opinion. People said this about the O.J. trial even though every minute of the trial was broadcast and there were people who watched it all.
As for how I came to the idea that Watson is guilty - that is based upon incredibly minute examination of the information available which I have been doing for over a year now. I have to say, that I started with the belief that even a highly experienced diver can panic and do the wrong things - and that Watson might not be guilty. The first thing that caught my attention was that in his statement, Watson had said that his computer beeped at him when the battery was in backwards. That really started me thinking he might be guilty. However, I decided to go further and learned through reading Watson's statement that he had a wireless wrist computer and he made statements about how it wasn't communicating with the first stage unit. I began to think that may be a possible explanation, maybe he is innocent, so I examined it further. However, I found a story where an investigator reported that they had tested Watson's equipment and the computer battery situation the way he had explained it, and still found that it would not beep. Not only that, but the investigator reported that it did record that first aborted dive where Watson said the computer was beeping at him and not communicating with the first stage device. That full examination is in my list of issues.
So my conclusion that Watson is most likely guilty evolved through a great deal of time and effort that I don't think anyone else has matched. My conclusion is based on cumulation of everything that I have minutely examined. There are many people on this thread who said that they think he is guilty because of one or two particular items. You look back on this thread, you will find that people are not all the same on what their key point is that makes them think he is guilty. The fact that someone can find one thing that makes them think Watson is guilty, based on one key item that they think is important, which is based the same information I have examined - and then turn-around and nail me to the wall for attempting to look at everything - is a hypocrit in my book.
Almost every fact in this case or any case will be looked at through a juror's own experience in some fashion. They will think about what it is like to swim and how it feels to be weightless in the water. They will ask themselves, what would I do in that situation? Is it possible I may have done the same thing? Jurors will share those kinds of experiences with each other when they deliberate. You can't say that life experience will not be applied - because it will. Obama announced today that his nomination to the Supreme Court will be able to apply her life experience as being raised by a single mother in a poor neighborhood. In justice, applying life experience is not a bad thing. But here, I have racked over the coals for doing it. In the last post on the Issues thread, I applied my own experience of my dive instructor reaching over my shoulder to turn my air off and on and it appeared not to be a problem. I had no other reference, so I applied my own experience. Something I believe many of you have done and will continue to do, and most especially because you are divers and I think it will be natural for you all to do so. And I think anyone who says they think someone is guilty or innocent based strictly on the facts and have not applied their own personal experience in some way is fooling themselves. The reason being, you will put yourself in the defendant's shoes and try to invision what happened. If you decide to ponder the case, and think about the possibility of guilt or innocence, this is something you should do. Fact is, you will, and if you still say no you don't, you only think of the facts - then I think you are a hypocrit.
I have also given potential defenses and what I really wanted was someone to argue the potential defenses - then we could have a real discussion. I have tried to start discussions from fresh, new and interesting perspectives. I fully understand that I may not be right. To me, being right is not the point - the point is through the discussion, we learn more about the case, more about diving principles and from each other. But instead, as new readers join the conversation, it becomes vicious attack on what I've tried to do. That is the reason I've decided that it is time for me to give up. I'm tired of trying to explain it over and over again. I would love to just discuss the case, rather than feeling like I need to defend myself and the process of examining this case I've tried to get this community involved in. I spent three long months examining every aspect I could think of before I finally put things together last year with my first post to the Issues thread. Then I spent countless hours over the last year continuing that examination - then having it described as offensive (by a non-certified diver, no less) - is the nail in the coffin for me.
That being said, I have to say it has been an interesting experience for me. I have learned a lot about people and diving in the process.
Thanks to those of you who have understood my purpose. I am sorry there are others who don't understand. Maybe there will be someone else who will have the energy to continue to try, but I don't.
As for how I came to the idea that Watson is guilty - that is based upon incredibly minute examination of the information available which I have been doing for over a year now. I have to say, that I started with the belief that even a highly experienced diver can panic and do the wrong things - and that Watson might not be guilty. The first thing that caught my attention was that in his statement, Watson had said that his computer beeped at him when the battery was in backwards. That really started me thinking he might be guilty. However, I decided to go further and learned through reading Watson's statement that he had a wireless wrist computer and he made statements about how it wasn't communicating with the first stage unit. I began to think that may be a possible explanation, maybe he is innocent, so I examined it further. However, I found a story where an investigator reported that they had tested Watson's equipment and the computer battery situation the way he had explained it, and still found that it would not beep. Not only that, but the investigator reported that it did record that first aborted dive where Watson said the computer was beeping at him and not communicating with the first stage device. That full examination is in my list of issues.
So my conclusion that Watson is most likely guilty evolved through a great deal of time and effort that I don't think anyone else has matched. My conclusion is based on cumulation of everything that I have minutely examined. There are many people on this thread who said that they think he is guilty because of one or two particular items. You look back on this thread, you will find that people are not all the same on what their key point is that makes them think he is guilty. The fact that someone can find one thing that makes them think Watson is guilty, based on one key item that they think is important, which is based the same information I have examined - and then turn-around and nail me to the wall for attempting to look at everything - is a hypocrit in my book.
Almost every fact in this case or any case will be looked at through a juror's own experience in some fashion. They will think about what it is like to swim and how it feels to be weightless in the water. They will ask themselves, what would I do in that situation? Is it possible I may have done the same thing? Jurors will share those kinds of experiences with each other when they deliberate. You can't say that life experience will not be applied - because it will. Obama announced today that his nomination to the Supreme Court will be able to apply her life experience as being raised by a single mother in a poor neighborhood. In justice, applying life experience is not a bad thing. But here, I have racked over the coals for doing it. In the last post on the Issues thread, I applied my own experience of my dive instructor reaching over my shoulder to turn my air off and on and it appeared not to be a problem. I had no other reference, so I applied my own experience. Something I believe many of you have done and will continue to do, and most especially because you are divers and I think it will be natural for you all to do so. And I think anyone who says they think someone is guilty or innocent based strictly on the facts and have not applied their own personal experience in some way is fooling themselves. The reason being, you will put yourself in the defendant's shoes and try to invision what happened. If you decide to ponder the case, and think about the possibility of guilt or innocence, this is something you should do. Fact is, you will, and if you still say no you don't, you only think of the facts - then I think you are a hypocrit.
I have also given potential defenses and what I really wanted was someone to argue the potential defenses - then we could have a real discussion. I have tried to start discussions from fresh, new and interesting perspectives. I fully understand that I may not be right. To me, being right is not the point - the point is through the discussion, we learn more about the case, more about diving principles and from each other. But instead, as new readers join the conversation, it becomes vicious attack on what I've tried to do. That is the reason I've decided that it is time for me to give up. I'm tired of trying to explain it over and over again. I would love to just discuss the case, rather than feeling like I need to defend myself and the process of examining this case I've tried to get this community involved in. I spent three long months examining every aspect I could think of before I finally put things together last year with my first post to the Issues thread. Then I spent countless hours over the last year continuing that examination - then having it described as offensive (by a non-certified diver, no less) - is the nail in the coffin for me.
That being said, I have to say it has been an interesting experience for me. I have learned a lot about people and diving in the process.
Thanks to those of you who have understood my purpose. I am sorry there are others who don't understand. Maybe there will be someone else who will have the energy to continue to try, but I don't.
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