I wouldn't so much say that you called it wrong... as the Breakwater is divable most of the time.... just that because of the feedback on vis and a visual of the dive site conditions it just wasn't worth if for them.
It's a bit of a sliding scale with other factors included on whether to make the drive down or not... then the call if it's safe to enter... then finally is it worth it.
Yep. We read things the same way you did (more or less), and a report I got yesterday was encouraging enough to make the drive down. We could have made the dive safely, but the really low vis and wave action on the surface didn't have us feeling good about it. We were already on the fence, and after loaning my cell phone to the owner of the nearly drowned dog neither of us were really feeling it.
Breakwater was a ghost town this morning, which is generally a sign that it might be better to just eat breakfast.