That's funny, considering the last line of your previous post. Don't throw stones if you want to live in a glass house.
Will every diver dive deep and/or technical profiles?
If the answer is no, can one conceive of recreational dives that can be done successfully with a single tank?
If the answer is yes, can those divers successfully use a pony as an emergency redundant air source?
If the answer is yes, there is no valid reason to switch to a double tank set up.
The problem is, having traveled a certain path and arrived at a certain configuration that works for you, you think that configuration is the only one that is valid. Isn't it possible that other divers may follow differing, yet just as valid, paths?
The point I am trying to make is that I have traveled a path that has at one point in time or another had me using all of the options being discussed. At a minimum that gives me a very informed opionion about all of the options being discussed including the pros, cons and not always imediately obvious pitfalls of each.
From that perspective my statement stands - don't expect anyone who has followed that path and in the process tried everything you have mentioned to be enlighted by your perspective on ponies versus doubles.
In response to your questions:
1. Will every diver dive deep and/or technical profiles?
Not every diver will do deep or technical dives - and consequently will need neither doubles or a pony unless they are in a solo diving situation.
2. If the answer is no, can one conceive of recreational dives that can be done successfully with a single tank?
People do recreational dives on a single tank (without a pony even) every day. Can it be done safely and successfully? Absolutely. Whether it is a good idea is arguable. If a pony adds nothing to the safety of the dive, is it worth bringing along? If the diver using the pony decides it gives him the ability to cut into his reservre a little more, it could even be a bad thing if one day the diver does so and then discovers his pony is empty or nearly empty.
3. If the answer is yes, can those divers successfully use a pony as an emergency redundant air source?
It follows from number 2 that a pony can be used as an emergency redundant air supply - but we ned to add that it can only do so within its limitations and the diver has to both understand those limits and remain within them. Once those limits are exceeded (and I would suggest those limits are exceeded a. below 120-130 ft b. in any deco situation, or c. in any hard overhead environment) doubles or at least a large single with an H valve, are clearly in order. Relying on just a pony can be problematic in those situaions.
4. If the answer is yes, there is no valid reason to switch to a double tank set up.
Again, it depends entirely on the limitations of the pony and the conditions of the dive. At some point, a diver is far better served in doubles. My concern - based on experience - is how far will a diver go before they realize they are too far past the line where they should have switched to doubles. A diver using a pony has to know when enough is enough for that configuration as it is NOT equal to a set of doubles.
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There is also the other side of the equation where many divers prefer doubles for their buyoyancy and trim characteristics, so there is also an argument beyond gas supply and redundancy. That has a large part to play in why I choose to dive doubles in recreational situations where a single would do fine. When you add that to the efficiency and flexibility allowed by my double 100's and the benfits of packing, diving and maintaining the same basic configuration I use on every dive, there is no real benefit to going back to a single tank configuration - unless I am packing light and flying somewhere tropical where an aluminum plate and single tank wing are ideal.