Yesterday, at the annual NSS-CDS conference in Alachua, Stratis Kas gave a talk in which he questioned the supposed conservatism of the sacred rule of thirds. His argument is that with a two-diver team, if one diver is out of gas at the farthest point on thirds, there is no realistic hope of team survival. His research shows that RMV increases for both divers, but particularly for the out-of-gas diver, by a factor of as much as 6-10 times normal average.
His math showed that even a three-person team, with two sharing, wouldn't make it. On fourths, a four-person team, which included Edd Sorenson and Wes Skiles among the donors, had an acceptable margin.
He didn't offer a clear solution to the dilemma he posed. He suggested it likely that in a two-diver team, on traditional thirds, in the extreme scenario, the out-of-gas diver would have to be abandoned for anyone to survive. He acknowledged that the extreme scenario is also extremely unlikely.
Thoughts?